Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gypsy Janie 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wedontbelieveher 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Left Leaning Lucy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Twice Smitten 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Vallarand 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Exfiltration 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bells On Her Toes 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Duckphat 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 She Caught My Eye 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Vodkatini 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tonight We Love 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Afilada 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wishing On a Star 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Desert Dalliance 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Voliero 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Centavo 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Higher Quality 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Salute to America 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Worker 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Colloquy 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Skylander 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shasta Star 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Diva Banker 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tara’s Talent 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beautiful Karen 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Chaysenbryn 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Quality Stones 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Triple P 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Reigning Chick 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Kringle 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fatima’s Blessing 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Citizen K 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lord Flintshire 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Safalow’s Mission 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Timbuktu 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Open Til Midnight 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Achilles Heel 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Liar’s Poker 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Starquist 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Noble Huntsman 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12A 12 Pricing Power 0.00 1 2-1
11B 11 D Hopper 0.00 1 2-1
1A 1 Equal Protection 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Whenlovetakesover 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fast Boat to Skye 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Good Rapport 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Steady Scheming 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Won an Award 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ohana Honor 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mercante 0.00 1 2-1
3B 3 Sacred Rhyme 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Twirler 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Freddymo Factor 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Captivating Cara 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cinderella’s Cause 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Juliana’s Rose 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 My First Love 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Chasing Daylight 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Keen Dancer 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dashing Della 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9A 9 Yes and Yes 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Synthesis 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Wendell Fong 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rinaldi 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Anaconda 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nothing Better 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Mr Phil 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Voodoo Zip 0.00 1 2-1
5A 5 Thin White Duke 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Comedy Town 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Into the Sunrise 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Marvalous Mike 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Coinage 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Slipstream 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Straight Answer (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.