Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mist 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Quiver of Fear 0.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Briseida 0.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sun Azteca 0.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Cherokee 0.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bucchera 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Avellino 0.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 She Has Class 0.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Florindia 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arrow Shape 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Meet the Beauty 0.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Muguruza 0.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Heiressindy 0.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Mudshaft 0.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Bullet On Tap 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eventful 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Solomons Gold 0.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Sound Doctrine 0.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Fatih 0.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Super Unison 0.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Starship Tango 0.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Seize the Breeze 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Swashbuckle 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lord of War 0.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ghost Giant 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Justice Warrior 0.00 4 8-1
6 6 Backchat 0.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 North Carolina 0.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Empire Attraction 0.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Eden Paradise 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr Tito’s 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rhymes Like Dimes 0.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Create Again 0.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Lease 0.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Perfect Cut 0.00 6 11-1
1 1 Hard Belle 0.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Thenorthremembers 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Apocalypso 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Keanu 0.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 English Bob 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 The Khozan One 0.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Mister Abarrio 0.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Cosmic Speculation 0.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Smart Striker 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alternate Rock 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dontlookbackatall 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Scottish Symphony 0.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Impetuous Molly 0.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Lady Azteca 0.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Fast Kimmie 0.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Jellicle Katz 0.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Marvelous Lady 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Parchita 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sturdy Girl 0.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Flag Woman 0.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Strike Jak 0.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Moor Strength 0.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Nucci 0.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 My Lady James 0.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Girl Bye 0.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Get a Grip Marilyn 0.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.