Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 He Rolls 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Thruster 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Speights Your Mind 0.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Notion to Tapit 0.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 His Royal G 0.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Open the Books 0.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Patriotic Party 0.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Scorched by Fire 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Call Me Maestro 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Majestic Frontier 0.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Despite Odds 0.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Aristocat 0.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Never Change 0.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Cousin Bob 0.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 True Dakotan 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dialer 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cypres Station 0.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 S S Sinatra 0.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 By Its Absence 0.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Runaholic 0.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Tempestivo 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Hit the Jackpot 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Caribbean Pleasure 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 We Call Him Clyde 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thencomemorning 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Prussian Blue 0.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Dunder Boss 0.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Irish Lace 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Don’t Tell Deren 0.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Grass Cutter 0.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Jackson’s Dixie 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rowsie Express 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dolice Vita 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Baton 0.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Fole’s Notion 0.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 What Does It Take 0.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Remembering Wilbur 0.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Berks 0.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Royal Number 0.00 6 11-1
7 7 Hardspun Reason 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7A 7 Chateau 0.00 1 2-1
4A 4 Synthesis 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Borracho 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 War Tocsin 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wondrwherecraigis 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Whiskey and You 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Spun and Won 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hunter Joe 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 John the Bear 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Witty 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Noble Gaston 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 All Threes 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gallant Gold 0.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Captain Quint 0.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mr Jefferson 0.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Jardani 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Frightland 0.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Crossland 0.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Shady Munni 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boat’s a Rockin 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Defend 0.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 No Sabe Nada 0.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Backnthewoods 0.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Kadri 0.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Mid Day Image 0.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Pyron 0.00 3 6-1
9 9 Mr. Hustle 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Determined Kingdom 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.