Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Holey Matrimony 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Charger 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 One Whirlwind Ride 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Major Spin 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Amedeus Music 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Turnsandconditions 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hammerin Aamer 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dark Storm 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mount Travers 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Pit Boss 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Corkman 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Friends Beer 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Silipo 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Doin’ittherightway 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mosienko 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spun Glass 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Goin’ Good 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hit the Woah 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Poppy Flower 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mac the Pee H Dee 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dust Devil 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Three Jokers 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ouster 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shipsational 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 In the Union 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Luni Sima 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Majority Partner 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Valentino’s Here 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Munny for Nuthin 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Squid Gamer 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tony O 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Awesome Force 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mudville Nine 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Caesar’s Ghost 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Clear Conscience 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Vince the Prince 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 One Headlight 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mama Banned Me 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 All Good Here 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Lil Commissioner 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Vintage Hollywood 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 American Lincoln 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Therisastormbrewin 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cool Quartet 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Liam’s Fire 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Forever Wicked 0.00 1 2-1
5A 5 Mister Winston 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 The Revenger 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Swift Tap 0.00 1 2-1
9A 9 Icy Storm 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jonny Quist 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daddy Knows 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Six Percent 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Wild Banker 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Microsecond 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Full Moon Fever 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sundaeswithsandy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Whittington Park 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Datesfreedom 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Grace in Motion 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Don’t Quit Jackie 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Mischief Motion 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Giggling Ghost 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Frosty Invasion 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jannie Mae 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wine Goddess 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lem Me Drink 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 My Inner Voice 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Derwin’s Paynter 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gotham Gray 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Strange Fruit 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Shoppingatbloomies 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sperss 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Aperol Spritz 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Deniece of Degrace 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.