Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Can’t Be Broken 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wheatsheaf 0.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bluey 0.00 2 4-1
3 3 Joe Irish 0.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Always Golden 0.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Natural Vibes 0.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Spanish Fury 0.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Toyi 0.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Prince of Pennies 0.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 No Tomorrow 0.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reaper 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Quiver of Fear 0.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Northshore Drive 0.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Saint No More 0.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Avellino 0.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Kingy 0.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Zaino 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kitty Quick 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hihellohowareyou 0.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Hoax 0.00 2 4-1
3 3 Major Pryce 0.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Luck in the Dusk 0.00 6 11-1
2 2 Stuck in Malibu 0.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Zosterop 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fight 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mr. American 0.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Yeager 0.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Peach Nectar 0.00 6 11-1
2 2 Screw Loose 0.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 First Place G 0.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Secret Soldier 0.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Point Liam 0.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Far From Home 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 I’ll Figure It Out 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Old Town Road 0.00 3 6-1
1 1 Ben Copenhagen 0.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Cactus Jack 0.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Pride and Passion 0.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Aequor 0.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Small Reason 0.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Cajun Mandate 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Madeforsummer 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 She’s Awesome 0.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Party Favor 0.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Vacation Suite 0.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Teasing 0.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Vita de Vito 0.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 North End Lady 0.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Soprise Astray 0.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Spouty’s Girl 0.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Lilbitsocial 0.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sturdy Girl 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Heir to the Roar 0.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sophia’s Storm 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Gitana 0.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sonicus 0.00 5 9-1
7 7 Adios Babe 0.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 The Isabel Astray 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Andie One 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rigby 0.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Shea D Secret 0.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Country Jewel 0.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Lead Performer 0.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Dulce Ambicion 0.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Sister Nell 0.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Musical Romance (GB) 0.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 One Track Mine 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Blue Soldier 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dontkissdaminister 0.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Classic Bourbon 0.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Chenti 0.00 7.7 15-1
13 13 Impetuous Soul 0.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Acamar 0.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Holiday Fantasy 0.00 10.3 20-1
10 10 Cool Slippers (IRE) 0.00 10.7 20-1
5 5 Sir Goosa 0.00 10.9 21-1
1 1 Takemetothemoon 0.00 11.7 22-1
7 7 Grande Soiree 0.00 11.9 23-1
9 9 W. P. Cadet 0.00 12.8 24-1
6 6 Totalitarian 0.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.