Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cape Trafalgar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Global Stage | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Cherry Pie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nasty Habit | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redemption Time | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iceatude | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brokenhearted | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Cool | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Talkin Pharoah | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insolito | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rivoli | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collect From Ike | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mask Patrol | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hey River | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Jokes Aside | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Elmo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Steven | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Northwind | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | With Purpose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Fever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Margoinabubblebath | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mean Sue | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Magic Chrissy | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frigid Lady | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing After You | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tell Me When | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Key to Success | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Paris | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Tappy Tone | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Dagger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coach Petro | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bon Bueno | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Close Knit | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Angel | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hardmoneymuchachos | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Navy Cross | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Texas Ted | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Electromagnetic | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Connection | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pace | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emergency Response | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky’s Lane | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wonderfull Lady (FR) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mademoisellejackie | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Allamericanbeauty | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Astor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knockyoursocksoff | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Malleymoo | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Safeen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C C Cruise Control | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Strikingly Spun | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Around the Sun | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Embrace Me | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Essaouira | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jenny Lind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clever Joke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Be My Sunshine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Venencia (FR) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Distinctlypossible | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inventing | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beachfront Bid | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mytown Myrules | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Keen | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Academic Honor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fanduel Limestone S.) – Fanduel Limestone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Nature | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Reigns (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twirled | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Apple | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sweet Affair | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Hollywood (GB) | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Camp Akeela | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Accomplished Girl | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alluring Angel (GB) | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Silent | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Care (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Danse Macabre | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Praise and Honor | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Travel Column | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheetara (CHI) | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Novel Squall | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Praise and Honor | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Richebourg | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chi Town Lady | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Like Water | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secretly Wicked | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Destiny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maker’s Mark Mile S.) – Maker’s Mark Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up to the Mark | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Modern Games (IRE) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chez Pierre (FR) | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Zempf (GB) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emmanuel | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up to the Mark | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cabo Spirit | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speaking Scout | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Love (BRZ) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tshiebwe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fight’n Ready | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Resolve | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maddon | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jor El | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pursuit of Power | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St. John’s | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Im a Modest Man | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earl of Dassel | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr McGregor | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Luna Vieja | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Southern Sunset | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Furious Anger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Artwell | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.