Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Safalow’s Mission | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conman | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Braciole | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandrone | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rough Draft | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feathers Road | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be of Courage | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Workout | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sinful Dancer | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clash A. J. | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Toxic Gray | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Looms Boldly | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warman Road | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heldish | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderian | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Torrone | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Danger’s Hour S.) – Danger’s Hour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Calling | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Everest (GB) | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial City | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anaconda | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eleven Central | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Koolhaus | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So High (GB) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Patrick the Great | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bingo John | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Life and Light | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sight Unseen | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Joy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hang Tight | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One More Score | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exxtop | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Carlin Clan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Please Baby | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yorkshire Prince | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proven Hope | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mad Magic | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Peja Du | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chess Spectacular | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormandy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Tap | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steady Progress | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elevated Causeway | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Second and Reed | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carpe Capella | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wealllikedhim | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raise the Rent | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Now | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No More Talk | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zertz | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnightcharly | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marvin | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Chrome | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Boy Bode | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Bon Adieu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inflationary Trend | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bomb Squad | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orange Freeze | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Succulent | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Silent Melody | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | My Angel | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Splendid One | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ichiban | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arisaema | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starts Now | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Northway | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kosuke | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pinstripepizzo | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gracefulness | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Conquistadora | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Win for Gold | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nolo Contesto | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zeebear | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Naked and Famous | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Quality | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Ready | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blinding Light | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motion to Strike | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Necromancer | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Built to Last | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hatch | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Miss San Gabriel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Accept the Outcome (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dekanter | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 15 | Butter Cake | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spelterini | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Dahlia | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lexi’s Spirit | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiescent | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Just On Time | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | She’s Stormy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Free | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tufani | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Goddess | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Diamond Status | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | My Girl Jal | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.