Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Camp Pendleton 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Savoy 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Honor the Fleet 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Violent Pass 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jimmy the Kid 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Tom Terrific 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Monday’s With Mike 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Threatlevelmidnite (GB) 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Spicy Margarita 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Brushing 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Awesome View 10.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Tiz Susan Ann 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Dulce Kiara 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Factorintheheat 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Gold Time Vixen 30.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Magical Anna 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Queen of Class 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Pretty Edgy 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Kanfu 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Chloe Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 R Averie Lynn 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lovely Liza 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Camelia Rod 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Earley Rose 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 O Shaughesey 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Ballykeen 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Conductance 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Poet in My Heart 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lookin Spunky 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grand Escape 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Shackinthebox 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Sir Smoak 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lord Uhtred 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Dart 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Rascally Rebel 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Strong Finish 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Island d’Lite 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thataway 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lost Weekend 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Swifty Devil 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 R B’s the Boss 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Parkerness 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Running River 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Rejoice 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Polsar 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Awesome Strike 10.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Bassanio (GB) 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Supreme Being 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Money Room 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Feral’s Joy 5.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Classic Legend 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Toofareastiswest 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Marvelousmoondance 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Here and Nofurther 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Margie’s Fun Son 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 King Joey 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Heavenly Cause S.) – Heavenly Cause S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pass the Champagne 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Beth’s Dream 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Hybrid Eclipse 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Award Wanted 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Moma Tiger 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Mavilus 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Hashtag Lucky 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Deco Strong 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Jump Into the Fire 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Frank Y. Whiteley S.) – Frank Y. Whiteley S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Witty 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Factor It In 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Eastern Bay 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Bankit 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Al Loves Josie 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Yodel E. A. Who 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Alwaysinahurry 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Kenny Had a Notion 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Hello Hot Rod 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Informative 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Weber City Miss S.) – Weber City Miss S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Girl Trouble 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Crypto Mama 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cynergy’s Electra 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Cats Inthe Timber 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Six the Hard Way 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Ginger Girl 30.00 5 9-1
6 6 Pharoahs Baby Gyal 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Federico Tesio S.) – Federico Tesio S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Circling the Drain 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Summer Cause 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Prince of Jericho 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Time to Cruise 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Coffeewithchris 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Eldest Son 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Ninetyprcentmaddie 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Perform 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Fletcher 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coast Along 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Blame D Rule Maker 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Here’s Liam 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Union League 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Long Rap Sheet 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Sergeant Sherman 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Elfuegomasbrilante 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Delacroix 5.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Fazzani 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Silk Prince 30.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Northern Rye 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sheriff Ronnie 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.