Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boldish 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 R Doc 2.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Bravo Bravo 20.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Ego 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Trivista 3.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Sono Grato 4.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Rye Humor 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bayou Sarge 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fabulous Fanny 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Keen Contender 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Chartreuse 2.00 3 6-1
9 9 The X Factor 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Tiz Sweet Candy 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lovely Joyce 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Beer Can Lady 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bodi Odi 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Charlize 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Willow Creek Road 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 One Ten Stadium 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 5 Westover 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Big Success 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Aspen Club 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Bellamys Roan 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Promising Shoes 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Dinner At Crumpies 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Allo Enry 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sharp Stick 0 0-1
4 4 Kingdom 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tejas 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Manta Rey 30.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Hard Spun Fantasy 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Huntsville 3.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Dario 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Sharp Stick 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Mad Hustle 12.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Soybean Man 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Concept 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Town Branch 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Lucky Dude 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 St Andrews 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mr Creed 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Schmooze 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Kentucky Bourbon 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Golden Luna 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Pistol Or Shotgun 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Street Art 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Family Tradition 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Cleat 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Midnight Majesty 2.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Practical Man 30.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Uptown Hustler 15.00 8 15-1
11 11 Koselio 20.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Fast Lane 12.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Galactic Empire 15.00 9.8 18-1
7 7 New Dice 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Immoral 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smooth Scat 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tut’s Revenge 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Chattalot 10.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Necker Island 1.80 4 8-1
1 1 Sir Wellington 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Summer in Malibu 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Fore Left 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Atoka 3.50 6.1 12-1
3 3 Mowins 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 House Wrecker 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Show Me Grace 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Distorted Secrets 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Emerald Princess 5.00 5.8 11-1
14 14 Jamminjl 4.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Legendary Gift 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Kewpie Doll 20.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Melody Rose 4.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Chasing Shadows 12.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 My Dams Atitude 20.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Have I Ever 15.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Royal Bonus 30.00 11.5 22-1
3 3 Forever Home 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hail Columbia 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Count Fleet Sprint H.) – Count Fleet Sprint H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Strobe 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Cogburn 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Candy Man Rocket 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Edge to Edge 10.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Tejano Twist 2.50 7.9 15-1
3 3 Pirate Rick 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Radical Right 15.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Surveillance 6.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Skelly 4.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Payne 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Slam Dunk Sermon 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Joe Frazier 4.00 5 9-1
11 11 Espionage 5.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Upstriker 4.50 6.1 12-1
10 10 City Rage 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Papa Rocket 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Tizhotndusty 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Lost in Limbo 8.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Jerry’s Eighty 30.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Ship It Red 12.00 9 17-1
12 12 Big Nick 20.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Cosmo 4.50 10.1 19-1
14 14 Lamutanaatty 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lansdowne 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Apple Blossom H.) – Apple Blossom H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Clairiere 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Hot and Sultry 5.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Secret Oath 0.80 1.7 3-1
3 3 I Feel the Need 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ngala 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Next Thursday 3.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Count It All Joy 4.50 2.6 5-1
12 12 Delta Moon 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Iconic Bonnet 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Aloha Baby 5.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Melania T 30.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Zongs Irish Frost 30.00 9 17-1
5 5 Princess Hadley 30.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Cashmere Baby 12.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Music Mistress 30.00 10 19-1
6 6 Be My Huckleberry 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.