Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boldish | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Doc | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bravo Bravo | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ego | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trivista | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sono Grato | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rye Humor | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Sarge | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fabulous Fanny | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Contender | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chartreuse | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The X Factor | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Joyce | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beer Can Lady | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bodi Odi | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlize | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Willow Creek Road | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Ten Stadium | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Westover | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Success | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aspen Club | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bellamys Roan | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promising Shoes | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dinner At Crumpies | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allo Enry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Stick | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tejas | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manta Rey | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Spun Fantasy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huntsville | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dario | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Stick | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Hustle | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soybean Man | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Concept | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Town Branch | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Dude | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Andrews | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Creed | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Schmooze | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Bourbon | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Luna | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Street Art | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Family Tradition | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cleat | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Majesty | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Practical Man | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uptown Hustler | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Koselio | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fast Lane | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galactic Empire | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Dice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Immoral | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Scat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tut’s Revenge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chattalot | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Necker Island | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Wellington | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer in Malibu | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fore Left | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atoka | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mowins | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | House Wrecker | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me Grace | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted Secrets | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Princess | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Jamminjl | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Gift | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kewpie Doll | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Melody Rose | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chasing Shadows | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Dams Atitude | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Have I Ever | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Bonus | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Home | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hail Columbia | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Count Fleet Sprint H.) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Strobe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cogburn | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Man Rocket | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edge to Edge | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tejano Twist | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pirate Rick | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Radical Right | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surveillance | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skelly | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Payne | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Frazier | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Espionage | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Upstriker | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | City Rage | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Rocket | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizhotndusty | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Limbo | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jerry’s Eighty | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ship It Red | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Nick | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmo | 4.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lamutanaatty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lansdowne | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Apple Blossom H.) – Apple Blossom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clairiere | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot and Sultry | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Oath | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Feel the Need | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ngala | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Next Thursday | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Count It All Joy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Delta Moon | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iconic Bonnet | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aloha Baby | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Melania T | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zongs Irish Frost | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Hadley | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cashmere Baby | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Music Mistress | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be My Huckleberry | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.