Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sutton Valley | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heads Or Tails | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Young Turk | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gilligan | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dimmi Quando | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bay | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sing Scat | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Spinner | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Auntie Rona | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montana Rose | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modern Society | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nami | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speak Unity | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Battlebus | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speak Unity | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fielder | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Flashinthenight | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rudy Rod | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | W W Springtime | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Go Go | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon and Ice | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bali’s Shade | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Malibu | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seanow | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Sicarii | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Valmont | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Town of Gold | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Funky Music | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nottoway | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Best Choice Baby | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bubba Chrome | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Step Ahead | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alligator Arms | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mungo Magic | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spunky Irishman | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Storm | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Storm | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steele Money | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s On Fire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thtwasthenthisisnw | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bonded | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orocovix | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart and Fast | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boruff | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Determined Empire | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thegirlfromireland | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Queen | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brooklyn Girl | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wings of a Song | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zippy Do Da Day | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She Got the Munni | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waridi Candy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Antietam | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lusty | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tenacious Traveler | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elke Lodge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Metanoia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Good Accelebrate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nonna’s Tiramisu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Solving Progress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mo Co Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Need a Marker | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Bossyness | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cocktail Dreaming | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Diamond Rain | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Gymnast | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Divisibility | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Rowsie Express | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Summer Odds | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkle Sprinkle | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Whisper | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tam Char | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shinelikeadiamond | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sizzling Hot | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brzina | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rahmer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ladneedsahandler | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rad Paisley | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sue Loves Barbados | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz No Clown | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bump N Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Judy’s Army | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maria From Miami | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Lancer | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Luck | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blonde Samaritan | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Worst Idea | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Munnis Pretty | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Coast Wildcat | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Savi Dancer | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.