Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Doubly Blessed 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Huge Bigly 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Offshore Affair 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Thundershook 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Shortlist 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Windcracker 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Time for Gold 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Close to Me 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Moonlight Rain 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lil’s Turn 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Put a Bow On It 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Lantern’s Candy 1.60 4.5 9-1
6 6 Izeonpoint 2.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Twentytwentyredo 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reup 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Afleet Sky 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Allo Enry 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Where’s Randy 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Street Commander 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Backgate Red 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Wicked Prince 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Skyped 6.00 8 15-1
5 5 Black Apple 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Table Money 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Huey Duey 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Uptown Social 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Explosive Pride 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mattfoleyvanman 4.00 5 10-1
7 7 Colonel Barton 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Fancy Paynter 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 P R Call Me Maybe 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 R R Empire 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Texas Red Hot 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blow Torch 15.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Mac Daddy Too 1.80 2 4-1
7 7 Improbable Journey 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mumayaz 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 League of Legends 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Ram 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Penetrator 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Dark Afternoon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Haskelled 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Kid Shelleen 1.80 1.5 3-1
2 2 Daryl’s Bolt 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Asset Basis 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 King Doodle 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Discovery Peak 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Chrome Run 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ransam Paynter 30.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Big Pete 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Work All Day 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Judo 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Recker Point 1.60 4.9 9-1
3 3 Giroovin 3.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Tres Soles 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Accidental Hero 12.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Sir 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 G T Five Hundred 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pats Property 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Megan’s Honor 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mamzooj 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Outlier 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Bandit Point 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Ten Gauge 1.80 6.6 12-1
3 3 Lansdowne 30.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Beer Chaser 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Super Constitution 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Westheimer Street 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Vying Edge 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Miri a Coincidence 6.00 4.5 8-1
13 13 Mr. Cougar 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Super Geek 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Lord M 2.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Depart 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Kinfolk 15.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Hardscrabble 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hacker 10.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Point Blank 20.00 11.2 21-1
11 11 Eurobeliever 15.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 Risky Situation 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Krusin Rocket 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.