Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doubly Blessed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Huge Bigly | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Offshore Affair | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thundershook | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shortlist | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windcracker | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time for Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Close to Me | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight Rain | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil’s Turn | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Put a Bow On It | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lantern’s Candy | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Izeonpoint | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twentytwentyredo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reup | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Sky | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allo Enry | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Randy | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Commander | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backgate Red | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Prince | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skyped | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Apple | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Table Money | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Huey Duey | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uptown Social | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Explosive Pride | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mattfoleyvanman | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Barton | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Paynter | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P R Call Me Maybe | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R R Empire | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Texas Red Hot | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blow Torch | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mac Daddy Too | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Improbable Journey | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mumayaz | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | League of Legends | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ram | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penetrator | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Afternoon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Haskelled | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Shelleen | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daryl’s Bolt | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Asset Basis | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Doodle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Discovery Peak | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Run | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ransam Paynter | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Pete | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Work All Day | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Judo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Recker Point | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giroovin | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tres Soles | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Accidental Hero | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G T Five Hundred | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pats Property | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Megan’s Honor | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mamzooj | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outlier | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bandit Point | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Gauge | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lansdowne | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beer Chaser | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Constitution | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Westheimer Street | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vying Edge | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miri a Coincidence | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Cougar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Super Geek | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord M | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Depart | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kinfolk | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hardscrabble | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hacker | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eurobeliever | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Risky Situation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Krusin Rocket | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.