Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, April 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Five Star Fran 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Leaping for Candy 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Escandalo 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Overthebluesky 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Amalfi Lady 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Only Girl 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Treasure Seeker 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Ruby Dooby Doo 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 America’s Pride 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Queen Lucky 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Delightful Dreamer 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Maarty’s Dilemma 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Charlys Wild Angel 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Sirenetta 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Say No More 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Nana’s Boopa 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Perfect Silent Cat 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Batter Up Bud 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Semper Fidelis 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Golden Talent 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Rockin the Palace 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hot Love 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
El Gran Cuyaya 0 0-1
2 2 El Gran Cuyaya 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dubrovnik 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Blackwater Falls 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Uncle Mark 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Kane 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 E T’s Code Red 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Shadow Bay 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Plamen 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fast Breakin Cash 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Night Ops 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Paradise Pride 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Croatian 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Artistic Reason 10.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Texas Basin 10.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Willy Mc 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 La Regalada 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Verdandi 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Dysfunctional 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Louella Street 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Skerrett 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 The Furmanator 5.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Heart Light 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Imagine This 0 0-1
10 10 Roadtriptonowhere 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ruffy 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Ouch Ouch Ouch 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Hometown Hero 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Scandalissimo 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Ryan’s Fleet 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Yo Nessroundonkern 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Big Brown Shoes 12.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Deplane 10.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Imagine This 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Capital Conquest 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lord of the Navy 5.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Norlander 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Upfor Parole 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Street Lightning 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Gambler’s Run 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Separate Ways 6.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Spirit Sky 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Our Ronny Alan 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 The Grayt Pumpkin 15.00 8 15-1
9 9 Ventilator 12.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 T’was the Night 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Strugar 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Get the W 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mr. Roundtree 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Nimble Beast 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Jw’s Third Mischie 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Commissioner G 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Suigu Star 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Trigger Pull 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Samurai Saint 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pontiffany 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Prospera 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Starship Rogue 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 One Wild Woman 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wishes and Dreams 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Pearls and Heels 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Blue Shine 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Baci 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Frankly My Dear 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.