Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greatest Love | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scott Alaia | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twice Smitten | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Karen | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Reply | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl of Tosconova | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Dancer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trade Secret | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gringotts | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Glory Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allaboutthemoney | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Gentleman | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jalen Journey | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trash Talker | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risk Profile | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Speed | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chowda | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runninsonofagun | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mr Phil | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Big Engine | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Synthesis | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Stage Left | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Wendell Fong | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Tops the Chart | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| Wendell Fong | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Electorate (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jet City Woman | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nightsaber (GB) | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kara Para | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oak Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Welcometomyworld | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Accel Rose | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Geometrique | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Inner Voice | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shaymyname | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Salto de Tigre | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Long Term | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandatory | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breadman | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norgay | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Achilles Heel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Five O | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Connection | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son of an Ex | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | O’Trouble | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ragtime Blues | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victorious Wave | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Digital Future | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leddy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Motion to Strike | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heir Port | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gandy Dancing | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caerus | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Drive | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Excellent Timing | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Kawhi Me a River | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Flash Kiss | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sosua Summer | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Dot’s Dollar | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ikigai | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | After Five | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Edge | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leonids | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Son | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Pressure | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battuta d’Oro | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Barone Marchis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thomas S P | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Golden One | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gentleman Burglar | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eridromos | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dakota’s Destiny | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Busta | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pentangeli | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Horizon | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Somama Beach | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.