Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Bramble Bush 4.50 1 2-1
3 2 Miner’s Gem 4.00 1.5 3-1
1A 10 Epicurean 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Raise Your Game 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Protectthewitness 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Lilly Simone 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Pretty Edgy 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Run Laura Run 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Chloe Rose 12.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Romantic Comedy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Wine Time 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Alwajd 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Bad Temper 3.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Water Witch 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Rationalmillennial 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 She So Cool 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Merger of Equals 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hearditall 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Queen 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dancer’s Melody 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Marvella Nasty 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Ms. Malevolence 12.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Funnybet 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Congress Hall 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Backstreet Affair 3.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Preparefortakeoff 4.50 8.9 17-1
9 9 Ravenel 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Pegasus 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 The Addison Pour 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Romp 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Down Cold 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Chelonian 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Phra Phrom 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Cryo 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Alpha Chi Rho 6.00 1 2-1
9 10 Aristocratic 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Backatya 12.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Bigmancan 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Charge to Victory 5.00 3 6-1
1 7 He Hate Me 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Yes Sir Robert 12.00 4 8-1
3 2 Great Days Ahead 30.00 5.9 11-1
1A 9 Strike Me Down 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Youngest of Five 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Carolina Sun 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Thisnameisokay 15.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Queen Sheba 6.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Above the Limit 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Awesome Jazz 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Afandi 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Spooky Spice 10.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Amani’s Image 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Murph 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Kilbrittain’s Red 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Gavinera 20.00 9.8 18-1
12 12 Freccia d’Argento 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Lola Flo 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Excellorator 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Armando R 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Galerio 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Wish for Peace 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Torch of Truth 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Shaft’s Bullet 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Boss Man J J 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Prince Pere 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 E. P. Milton 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Shelly Island 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Marathoner 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Speights Your Mind 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Tenax 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Highland Dream 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Southern Lad 30.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Town of Gold 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Brion 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Jo Jo Hans 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.