Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | D Hopper | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phelpsy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venge | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Michael | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finn’s Moment | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alternate Reality | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Yukata (IRE) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Arina (GER) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Honey Money | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canisy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Dancing Sophia | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Bramble Bay | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Wonka | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Impazible Donna | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toned Up | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Excellent Timing | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rotknee | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaz’s Beach | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Dollar | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pressure | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bezos | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magical Ways | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Global Image | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peja Du | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steady Progress | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Financial Strength | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Succeed | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Purchase | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spiked | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Know It All Audrey | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liam’s Kiss | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suspended Campaign | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anatolian | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into Happiness | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Weekend | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Refuah | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rule Breaker | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Just | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meteorite | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inspector | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wanna Winna | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battleoflexington | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unaffected | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dontmesswithtess | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She Caught My Eye | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Dolly | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Principessa | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up Her Sleeve | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady of Thoroton | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brisky Frolic | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | From Hello | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Girl Faith | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Theory | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stone Creator | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mystery | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bavarian Creme | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Sophia | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khali Magic | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thinking It Over | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amity Island | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Little Skippy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Old Point | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Let Me Down | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nieuwendyk | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Father of Lies | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leo Fong | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brass Monkey | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shakin the Belle | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pine Alley | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sway’sinmydna | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wealllikedhim | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anointed Spirit | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.