Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Northshore Drive 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Reaper 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Saint No More 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Quiver of Fear 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Kingy 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Avellino 15.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Zaino 20.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Twisted Filigree 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Andie One 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Zisisit (IRE) 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Rigby 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Sister Nell 3.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Musical Romance (GB) 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Country Jewel 4.50 6 11-1
7 7 One Track Mine 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Dulce Ambicion 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She’s Awesome 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Spouty’s Girl 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Party Favor 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Vita de Vito 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Teasing 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Madeforsummer 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lilbitsocial 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Can’t Be Broken 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wheatsheaf 3.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Bluey 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Natural Vibes 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Toyi 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Spanish Fury 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 No Tomorrow 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Street Soldier 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Freddie’s Fire 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Always Golden 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Joe Irish 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wind Ninety Nine 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wall Street Trader 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Souper Royal Moon 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Another Duke 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bourbon Thunder 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Strasbourg 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Lord Jaxston 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Awesome Crusader 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fight 3.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Mr. American 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Peach Nectar 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Yeager 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Point Liam 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Screw Loose 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 First Place G 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Secret Soldier 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 I’ll Figure It Out 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Old Town Road 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Ben Copenhagen 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Pride and Passion 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Small Reason 3.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Incitatus 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Aequor 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Solair 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Flip My Id 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Heir to the Roar 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Deise Delight (IRE) 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Demurely 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Lexinator 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Dannyhill 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Winning At Ease 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 La Costa 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Crazy Passion 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss M M 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Artifact (GB) 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Calling All Angels (IRE) 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Kentucky Kiss 2.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 Reconnecting 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Stuck in Malibu 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Vai Via 8.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Best Seller 5.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Always Royal 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cloud Storage 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Asknotwhatyoucando 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ember 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Impetuous Soul 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Grande Soiree 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Takemetothemoon 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Dontkissdaminister 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Blue Soldier 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Holiday Fantasy 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 W. P. Cadet 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Sir Goosa 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Cool Slippers (IRE) 20.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Classic Bourbon 30.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Notary Sojac 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fun American 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.