Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Northshore Drive | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reaper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint No More | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiver of Fear | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingy | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avellino | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zaino | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Filigree | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Andie One | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zisisit (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rigby | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Nell | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Romance (GB) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Jewel | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Track Mine | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dulce Ambicion | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Awesome | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spouty’s Girl | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Favor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vita de Vito | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teasing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Madeforsummer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lilbitsocial | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Be Broken | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wheatsheaf | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bluey | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Natural Vibes | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toyi | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Fury | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Tomorrow | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Soldier | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freddie’s Fire | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Golden | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joe Irish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wind Ninety Nine | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wall Street Trader | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Royal Moon | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Another Duke | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Thunder | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strasbourg | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Jaxston | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Crusader | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. American | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Nectar | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yeager | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point Liam | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Screw Loose | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Place G | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Soldier | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Figure It Out | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Town Road | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Copenhagen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pride and Passion | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Small Reason | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incitatus | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aequor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Solair | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flip My Id | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heir to the Roar | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deise Delight (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demurely | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lexinator | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dannyhill | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning At Ease | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Costa | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Passion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss M M | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artifact (GB) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calling All Angels (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Kiss | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reconnecting | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stuck in Malibu | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vai Via | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Best Seller | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Royal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cloud Storage | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Asknotwhatyoucando | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ember | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Impetuous Soul | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grande Soiree | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takemetothemoon | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dontkissdaminister | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Soldier | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Fantasy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | W. P. Cadet | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Goosa | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cool Slippers (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classic Bourbon | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Notary Sojac | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fun American | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.