Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ask Him Oakey 2.50 1 2-1
1 3 Reckless Affair 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Irish Warlock 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 I Am the Mike 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mister Ripster 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 That’s My Business 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Elusive Image 12.00 5.8 11-1
1A 8 Expect Lucky 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Call Me Maestro 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Branco Maria 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Only Child 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Gilligan 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lookin for Justice 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Book of Delancey 15.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Transfer the Funds 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Dimmi Quando 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s Like Thunder 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 High Stick 1.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Good Accelebrate 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Nonna’s Tiramisu 3.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Creole 4.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Don Diva 30.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Police Woman 30.00 8 15-1
8 8 Chez Soleil 10.00 8 15-1
7 7 Starters Orders 6.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Determined Lilly 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Krone 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Waverley 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Winds of Fortune 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 River City Rocker 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Voodoo Priestess 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Snooze Button 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Looking for Flare 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Warwick River 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Let’s Make a Zeen 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ghostlighter 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Amount 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Badger Tooth 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Remembering Wilbur 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Southern Bridge 3.50 5 9-1
10 10 Erawan 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lord Mio 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 The Angry Man 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Minecrafter 30.00 8 15-1
8 8 Chrome Finish 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Inanna’s Quest 10.00 1 2-1
12 12 Nicolar 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Downtown Katie 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Youens 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Freccia d’Argento 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Now Yus Cant Leave 3.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Frivole (FR) 3.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Naval Empire 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Misty Mauve 4.50 6.8 13-1
10 10 Heartburn 20.00 11.4 22-1
5 5 Believe in Freedom 20.00 11.8 22-1
3 3 Just North 12.00 11.9 22-1
13 13 Angel Art 20.00 13.2 25-1
2 2 Nowyouscan’tleave 0.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pit Stop Man 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Free Square 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Sicilia Mike 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Military Hop 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 The Cairo Kid 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Wild Behavior 4.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Spotted Bull 3.50 6.1 12-1
3 3 Pelota 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cover the Spread 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mystic Seaport 15.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Goldieness 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Six the Hard Way 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Major Houlihan 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Devil Pays in Gold 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Fivecommatwo 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Sideswiped 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 S. Muffin 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Woodline 6.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Hard Traveler 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Take Charge Too 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Surprise Hello 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Not Normal 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Rush to Candy 30.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Determined Stella 20.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Ryder T 15.00 10 19-1
4 4 Carolina Hideaway 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.