Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lansdowne (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Franklin One Star 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Thunderheart 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Petruchio 10.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Beaudacious 4.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tangledupingrey 5.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Black Magician 12.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Mendez Mile 15.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Divine Rascal 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Papa Tiger 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 New York Dreams (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Conquest 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Hot Rod Mama 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Jacqueline Cochran 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Midnight Silence 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Del Mar Woman 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Tap in Nine 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Irish Patsy 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Miss Polo Bar 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Soul of a Warrior 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Elegance Code 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Pretty Rena 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Precipice 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Paid in Gold 6.00 5 10-1
3 3 Crescendo Molto 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Socially Smart 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Awesome Taylor 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 The Reign Song 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Quicklikeabunny 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Pequena Tormenta 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Modera 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Miss Kaline 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Daddy Classy Dill 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Be Punctual 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Johnny Paycheck 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Workday 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Silent Heat 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Stan From Malibu 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Herecomegeorgieboy 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Chrome to Riches 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Con Seal and Kerry 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sweet Hello 1.20 1.3 2-1
6 6 Prestigious 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Miss Jo’s Candy 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Anacarava (IRE) 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Comptons House 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thirsty Pappy 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Catalina Eddy 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Tom and Jazzy 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Old Pal 1.60 3.9 7-1
7 7 Upward Mobility 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Boss Sully 2.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Star Prospect 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 My Harbors Dream 3.50 1 2-1
7 6 Mighty Matt 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 2 Cross Examine 15.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Octopus 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Midnight Special 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 My Dominator 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Vicente’s Shadow 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Street Vision 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Afternoon Heat 12.00 6 11-1
2 1 Awesome Heights 12.00 6 11-1
1 98 No Hang Charlie 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mygalsdawnnlori 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Map to My Heart 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Miss Lizzy 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 California Bling 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Bella Baby 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Miss Joannie 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Dialing Scotty 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Wirly Girly 4.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Ava’s Storm 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Billy Gallivan 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.