Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Morethanreadyeddie 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 My Mamba 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Alottacents 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Pudge Boy Palace 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Your Analysis 3.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Amity Road 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Kenner 2.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Twice Gold 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Star Shopping 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sharp Red Eagle 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Marched 15.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Quincannon 3.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Super Jordan 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Pressing Concern 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Carmichaelspioneer 6.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 His Royal G 15.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Destin’s Mission 8.00 9.8 18-1
6 6 Thank Ya Pete 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Native Dancer S.) – Native Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nimitz Class 0.50 1 2-1
2 2 Irish Cork 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Vance Scholars 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Forewarned 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Nostalgic Run 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (King T. Leatherbury S.) – King T. Leatherbury S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Carotari 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Our Shot 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Grateful Bred 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Breezy Gust 12.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Determined Kingdom 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Kadri 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 That’s Right 4.50 6.1 12-1
8 8 E J’s Revenge 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lantau 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Brilliant Ice 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Sponsored 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Magic Mule 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Zen Master 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Abuelo Paps 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Catch the Smoke 4.50 7.7 15-1
2 2 Manolito 6.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Smooth Flyin Mike 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Bump N Run 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rock the Boat 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Monster Mason 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Court and Spark 8.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Wish Me Home 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Benny Havens 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Tauber 3.50 7.5 14-1
4 4 Bourbon Currency 15.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Whenigettoheaven 10.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Mr. Shades of Gray 8.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Celtic Sea 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Pickin Sea Glass 15.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Bustinupishardtodo 20.00 10.8 20-1
16 16 Tapio 15.00 14.1 27-1
8 8 Opposites Attract 20.00 14.9 28-1
13 13 Minister for Magic 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Primonetta S.) – Primonetta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Princess Kokachin 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Street Lute 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Moody Woman 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Oxana 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Prodigy Doll 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Fuhgeddaboudit 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Henry S. Clark S.) – Henry S. Clark S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dee Jay 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ocala Dream 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 You Must Chill 8.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Double Crown 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 English Bee 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Cannon’s Roar 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sky’s Not Falling 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Smokin’ T 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Helms Deep 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Run Around Slew 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Quantum Light 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ruthanne 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Stormin’ Amanda 20.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 How Sweet She Is 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Goldrush Hottie 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Fly High 4.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Punkin 5.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Captain Courtney 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Dahlia S.) – Dahlia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Surprisingly 1.60 1 2-1
10 10 Takntothecleaners 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Regal Realm 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Double Fireball 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Tic Tic Tic Boom 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Deciding Vote 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Sopran Basilea (IRE) 3.50 9.1 17-1
2 2 In My Opinion 20.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Miss Carol Ann (IRE) 6.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Misty Mauve 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dats a Superstar 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lady Lancer 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Despite the Gin 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Victorian Riviera 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tulip Lil 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 I Have Courage 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Tipsy Tourist 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Biz as Usual 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.