Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Founder’s Day 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tik Tok Famous (GB) 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Warrens Candy Girl 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Symphony Perfect (IRE) 3.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Sweetest Angel 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Shared Future 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Phenom 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Broken Breeze 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Flatterwithjewels 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Roman Empress 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Starship Sky 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Shvere Arbeter 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bonita Leona 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rhythem On Stage 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Reef City 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Apple Warrior 2.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Whiskey Vision 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 J D’s Rude Boy 4.00 6 11-1
1 1 San Jac 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 In Vronsky Style 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sauls Call 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Six Feet 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 6 Exceed Speed Limit 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Square Cat 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Midnight Lightning 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Chick’s Dig It 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 98 Rock N Rye 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Kona Gold S.) – Kona Gold S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trumped 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Anarchist 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Brickyard Ride 1.20 2.2 4-1
5 5 Positivity 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Armagnac 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sunrise Journey 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kitty Kitana (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Pammy’s Ready 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Unbridled Mary 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 One Silk Stocking 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Rakassah (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Princess Adaleigh 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Music Festival 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sugar Sugar 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sapadilla 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Casia 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Balenciaga Betty 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Rufa Red Knot 12.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Tenacious Lady 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Grey Magic 4.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Midnight Susi 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Topolina 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Real Fire 4.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Aventapp 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Paleo’s Princess 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Good Boo Joo 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 M Is for Magic 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Cornelia Fort 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Dads Estrella 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Dallas Alice 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Californian S.) – Californian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Defunded 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Royal Ship (BRZ) 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Parnelli 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mr. Impossible 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Kiss Today Goodbye 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Midnight Mammoth 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Single Track Mind (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Vegas Burner 6.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 O’Banion (IRE) 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Giovinazzo 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Acquired Class 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Bolt Supremacy 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Neon Lights (IRE) 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Road of Love 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Adventuresome 8.00 10 19-1
8 8 Finding Love 15.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Smooth Salute 8.00 11.3 21-1
10 10 Fifty Cinco 15.00 11.5 22-1
13 13 Yogi Boy 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.