Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Take It Easy 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Tickle Her Toe 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Silver Tunes 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Miss Bobbit 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Midnight Meadow 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Gormley Girl 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chasing Joy 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 My Final Trick 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Erratique 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 More Savvy 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Mi Tormenta 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Subzero Plus 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Canadiansweetheart 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Celtic Revival 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Delilah’s Revenge 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fast’n Sexy 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Forest Maiden 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Thunderheavyrain 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barwick 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jim’s Hope 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Wickedblackbullet 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Kinetic Stone 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Miah Said 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Forest Star 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Swoop 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Legs Like Gizmo 3.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Mendeljohn (IRE) 2.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kimono Kate 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Theodoropoulos 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Jab 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 I’m a Bourbon Girl 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Hekla’s Aura 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Lady Xi 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Firenspice 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ol’ Blondie 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Takota 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Billyjane 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Diamond Crush 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Basalt Street 3.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Mitzi 20.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Botta Swing 6.00 5.9 11-1
14 14 Verdejo 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Giverny 10.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Storming Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sterling Speed 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Trading Bay 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Forest B 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Allen Diggs 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Amber Light 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Midnight Moonshine 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Coherence 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Zakhari 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Proud Ronin 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tazman 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Livin On Luv 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Magniloquent 1.60 1.4 3-1
5 5 Spanish Beauty 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Speedy River 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sacred Dancer 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Unable 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Know How (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Natasha’s Bizniz 10.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Too Much Vino 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sneaky Rebel 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Forest Choice 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Northern Passage 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Quiet Maddelena 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Murder Hornet 3.50 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.