Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Southern Horse (ARG) 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Commander (FR) 0.00 3 6-1
3 3 Jetovator 0.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Redline 0.00 4 8-1
5 5 Crew Dragon 0.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Took Charge 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Conquistar 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ruby Nell 0.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Virasana 0.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Apple Fest 0.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Duchessofbayridge 0.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Collectmythoughts 0.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Roses n’ Chrome 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Siren Lure S.) – Siren Lure S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Air Force Red 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Whatmakessammyrun 0.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Burnin Turf 0.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Indian Peak 0.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Sunrise Journey 0.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ever a Rebel 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Motorcade 0.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Princip 0.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Mor Tequila 0.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Brazen Bull 0.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 American Livin 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lasting Love 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Silent Beauty 0.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cal 0.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Kiss My Kat 0.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Jordan 0.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Shemakescents 0.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 It’s Saul Right 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chevy Girl 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Stay in Line 0.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Shambala Girl 0.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Sheza Lucky Charm 0.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Time Together 0.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Copper Bo Ten 0.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Classy Candy 0.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Zzyzx 0.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Boginskaya 0.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Never Not Once 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Turquoise Bikini 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stormy Samurai 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Settecento 0.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Granada Flavor 0.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Papale 0.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Man 0.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Mongolian Ford 0.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tembo 0.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Chickasaw 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ela Calimera Mou 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Candy On Top 0.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Idessia 0.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Timely Luck 0.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Palacsinta 0.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Rosie Forecast 0.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Tapit Rocks 0.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Yvett’s Surprise 0.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Betsy Is the Code 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Economical 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Crypto Munny 0.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Missed Call 0.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Careless Kitten 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Chicknfingerfriday 0.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Divine Feminine 0.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Big Swede 0.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Guardsman Pass 0.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Littlebrotherjoey 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Key Is Unity 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Keen to Go 0.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Russells Hustle 0.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Belmont Bill 0.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Cryptoholic 0.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Storm the Night 0.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Bluegrass Ryder 0.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Churchmeister 0.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Hornung 0.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Trump Forty Five 0.00 10.7 20-1
7 7 Tiz a Class Act 0.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.