Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sanura | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Bay | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whatlovelookslike | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | New Ginya | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B B’s Busted | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Home for Christmas | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silken Dollar | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Dufresne | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Curly Girl | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Afilada | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amanda’s Folly | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Traffic | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bravo Regina | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Handle the Truth | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tekila | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey the Fish | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Lady | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love Appeals | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetlou’sgotaces | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgees Spirit | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Senior Prank | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fabulously Funny | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Azteca | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing After You | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Be Up | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Chaysenbryn | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Linny Kate | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Big Cheeks | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Caramocha | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Gagliano | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Girl’s On Fire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Forty Smooth | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mariah’s Fortune | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | More Mango | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Proper Grammar | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Keen Dancer | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Freudmein | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Fayette Joker | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Prix de West | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Golden Arm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Pop Coyer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Ormstown | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | On the Ledge | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Nightmare Moon | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Seize the City | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodside Warrior | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Storm the Empire | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Russi | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Under the Knife | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Twenty Four Mamba | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Jake Rocks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 6 | Glory Road | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2B | 8 | Lastchanceatglory | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Milton the Monster | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nuclear Option | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Thinkaboutit | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 11 | Russian to Win | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Lost in Rome | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Charlie Five O | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| Milton the Monster | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Scilly Cay | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vacation Dance | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frank’s Art | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yarrow | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Station | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Giant | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runningwscissors | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Me ‘n Sap | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bar Fourteen | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Paros | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parkerness | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rol Again Dancer | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thunderian | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mama’s Gold | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby the Tank | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Connection | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Smarty | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Playingwithmatches | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going in Style | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sorpreso | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Grant | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.