Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Downburst 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Double Cosmo Girl 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Mo Town Madison 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Leipzig 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Starship Skittles 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Noble Lady 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Never Been Wrong 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Back Off Me 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hello Jack 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Exalted Charm 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Hunter 2.00 4 8-1
3 3 Sovereign of Speed 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Federal Exchange 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Lee Ann’s Warrior 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Instinctual 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Eventful 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Gotta Like Him 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Jay’s Delight 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Barfly 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Brooklyn Dreams 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Global Pride 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Newton’s Star (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Good Value 10.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Grey Princess 5.00 1.9 3-1
9 9 Confer 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ransom Style 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Novellie 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Coco 5.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Rachels Song 20.00 6.4 12-1
14 14 Greek Mojo 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Golden Haven 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Yankee Storm 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Far Above 30.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Beach Ready 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Replenish 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bullet Valentina 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kaeko 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Raison the Glass 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Heiressindy 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Disco Queen 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Katiesdreamgirl 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Little Belita 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bullet On Tap 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Swashbuckle 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 My Man Flint 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Lord of War 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Nantasket Beach 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Empire Attraction 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Red’s Revenge 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cupid’s Dart 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Imonra 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Love Rhapsody 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 What’s Good 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Writteninthestars 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Literate 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Nothing But Pumps 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Princess Tenko 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Unifieds Princess 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yes I’m a Beast 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 In Due Time 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Celestial Glaze 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Powerfully Built 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Gatsby 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Royal Urn 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Doc Amster 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Willy Boi 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 No Que No 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.