Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katerini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Travel Smart | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gritty Girl | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly May (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheerful Charm | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Back On the Street | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jamies Inheritance | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anybody’s Choice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lulu Lemon Drop | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Side by Side | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Baby | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Kentucky Rose | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Billy Gallivan | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Dessert | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rip City | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mecklenburg (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rijeka (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hudson Ridge | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neptune’s Storm | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Maker | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Divine Rascal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonofafinch | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Intro | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Splash | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krixus Flash | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curly Esa | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moon Ice | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Tiger | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barely Funtional | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | California Tiger | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Titos With a Twist | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get the Gold | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | California Bay | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Attitude | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stylishlyacclaimed | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red and Ready | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tom Horn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tizz a Good Thing | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ghostly Act | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Uncle John | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nickel Nickel Nine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Donttestyourluck | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Charge Curly | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buck Owens | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Samba Flavor | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ballroom Prince | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Le Vron James | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Express | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kreacher | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Deep River | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Down | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eleuthera | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Again | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine Babe | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Patriot | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostem | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madiha | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Moon | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shezmisbehaving | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eda | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teddy’s Barino | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Runner | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heels Up | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kristi’s Tiger | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Past Twelve | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heartbreak Kid | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Road | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Call | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Snapp Daddy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carpe Bellum | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Port Royal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mt. Zeror | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie’s Ghost | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Time | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overrule | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Storming Chrome | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mega Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Habeas | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | El Oro (FR) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.