Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Katerini 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Travel Smart 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Gritty Girl 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Dolly May (IRE) 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Inner Beauty (IRE) 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 Cheerful Charm 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Back On the Street 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Jamies Inheritance 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anybody’s Choice 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lulu Lemon Drop 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Side by Side 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Money Baby 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Our Kentucky Rose 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Billy Gallivan 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Chrome Dessert 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rip City 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mecklenburg (IRE) 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Rijeka (IRE) 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Hudson Ridge 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Neptune’s Storm 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Spirit Maker 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Divine Rascal 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sonofafinch 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Quick Intro 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Big Splash 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Krixus Flash 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Curly Esa 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moon Ice 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Grand Tiger 2.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 Barely Funtional 3.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 California Tiger 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Titos With a Twist 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Get the Gold 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 California Bay 10.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Big Attitude 12.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Stylishlyacclaimed 12.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Red and Ready 20.00 10.3 20-1
14 14 Tom Horn 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tizz a Good Thing 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ghostly Act 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Uncle John 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nickel Nickel Nine 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Donttestyourluck 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Take Charge Curly 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 Buck Owens 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Samba Flavor 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Ballroom Prince 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Le Vron James 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Gold Express 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Kreacher 8.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Deep River 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tapit Down 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eleuthera 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Golden Again 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Sunshine Babe 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 True Patriot 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ghostem 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Madiha 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Warrior’s Moon 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Shezmisbehaving 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eda 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Teddy’s Barino 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Violent Runner 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Heels Up 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kristi’s Tiger 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Half Past Twelve 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Heartbreak Kid 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Warrior Road 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Battle Call 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Snapp Daddy 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Carpe Bellum 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Port Royal 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Mt. Zeror 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Charlie’s Ghost 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Moon Time 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Overrule 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Storming Chrome 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mega Moon 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Habeas 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 El Oro (FR) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.