Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Photon 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Stones 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 She’s a Nine 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Bon Adieu 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Short Shift 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Jessica’s Ride 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Memories Of Silver S.) – Memories Of Silver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Downtown Mischief 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Royalty Interest (FR) 2.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Balpool 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Queen Picasso (GB) 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Lady Beth 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Juniper’s Moon 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hang the Moon 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Bulsara 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Crypto Mama 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Unified Alliance 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mispelled Mooon 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Quick Power Nap 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Act of Congress 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Jet Set Juliet 6.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Our Rosie Diamonds 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mostly Harmless 8.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Jolly Miss Jill 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Fuligni 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Lady Mine 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Audit Committee 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ben’s Sunny Island 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Predetermined 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Angelique 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Echo in Eternity 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Shaman Princess 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Danseur d’Oro 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Foxy Cara 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Inde Symphony 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Krystalheir 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shadow Sphinx 0.60 1 2-1
10 11 Back Ring Luck 2.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Original 3.50 1.7 3-1
11 12 Corkman 4.00 1.8 3-1
1A 6 Mount Travers 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Healing 8.00 2.8 5-1
12 13 Jumpster 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Two Thirty Five 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Standup 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 10 Front Man 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 8 Goldini 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 9 American Lincoln 50.00 13 25-1
3 3 Sailor Speed 50.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
13 13 Nolo Contesto 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 King James 3.50 1.9 4-1
12 12 Built to Last 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Always Charming 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Sugar Gray Leonard 5.00 2.7 5-1
14 14 McCrakens Ghost 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 King Moonracer 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Starrystarryknight 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Cumberland Blues 8.00 4.2 8-1
1A 15 Majestic Tiger 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Midnight Worker 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Air Show 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Bustinupishardtodo 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 R Boy Bode 30.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Mo Rewards 2.00 1 2-1
9 10 Dee’s Speedstre 3.50 1.8 3-1
1A 6 Kong Loves a Fight 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 2 Ginnsu Warrior 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Star Attitude 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Let Freedom Spring 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 11 Papi On Ice 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 8 B C Glory Days 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 9 Reunion Tour 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Romanoatsee 20.00 11 21-1
6 7 Basic Truth 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zandon 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 High Connection 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Tonal Impact 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Galt 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Uncle Moonlight 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Good Skate 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Lastchanceatglory 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 King Kumbalay 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Alcools 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Dads Good Runner 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 New York Panther 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 5 Steady Progress 4.00 1.6 3-1
1A 9 Sway’sinmydna 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Bold Honor 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Zoomster 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Grand Again 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Dakota’s Destiny 12.00 4.5 8-1
10 11 Break the Ice 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 10 Eternal Glory 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Sharpoon 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.