Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hope Over Fear 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Alhaan 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Ready She Is 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Bullet Valentina 15.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Dandelion 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bonnie Sandra 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Samurai’sdon’tcry 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Seekingbythestorm 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sassy But Precious 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Li Li Bear 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Dancing Doll 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Six Feet Apart 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Ala Turka 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Great Adventure 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Summer Home 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ulikeapples 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 You Looking At Me 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sponger 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Always Connected 1.40 2.2 4-1
5 5 Castle Born 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Interesting Gem 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Our La Dolce Vita 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Apple Saucy 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 She’s Red Hot 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Beer Bali 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Miss Goldie 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kikilove 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Guardian Angel 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sistren 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tap’er Light 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Esoteric 15.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Sin for a Season 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nate the Great 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 King d’Oro 2.50 2 4-1
9 9 Justin’s Legacy 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 One Fast Dream 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Saint in the City 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Ajaayb 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Jeby 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Composer’s Dream 30.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Immense Faith 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Voy Y Vengo 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 O Gangster 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Find Your Passion 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 It’s Nora Now 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Temerity 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Noble Dreamer 2.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Love My Job 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lady Petal 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 For Ever Ours 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Velocissima 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Mama Longlegs 30.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 India Pilaga (ARG) 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ranseur 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gustavor 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Tio Tony 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ensign Skip 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 I’llsmileagain 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Dontonio 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Majestic Drama 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Spy Town 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yes I Am Free 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Chess Master 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Full Disclosure 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Warrior’s Pride 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Novgorod the Great 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Charmed (GB) 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Uncle B 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Famous Gent 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Souper Success 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Omaha City 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Heals the Soul 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Monforte 3.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Corduroy Road 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Telephone Talker 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Doo Wop Don 8.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 High Press 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Handsome Prince 15.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Untitled 12.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Earth 20.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Allegedly Perfect 30.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Officer Country 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nic’s Bro 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Big Daddy Dave 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Reddington 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 He’s in Charge 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Big and Classy 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Braccio Di Ferro 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Song Runner 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Value Proposition (GB) 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Yamato 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 California Frolic 20.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Win for the Money 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Olympic Runner 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Lure Him In 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Journeyman 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Kygo (GER) 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Eldon’s Prince 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 A Rose for Raven 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.