Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Reckless Affair 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Don Bernardo 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Doc Rock 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mister Ripster 6.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Robbedinthebahamas 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Expect Lucky 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ask Him Oakey 3.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Ship Master 30.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Not as Lucky as Us 10.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Appendage 12.00 8.2 15-1
13 13 My Boy Colton 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Sette Stelle 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 A Thousand Idols 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Spunky Irishman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Be Better 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 It’s Sizzling Time 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Everett’s Song 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 All Threes 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Guillaume 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Holy Synchronicity 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 One Ten 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Walk Away Joe 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Keeping the Edge 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 John the Bear 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Maya Prince 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Casanova Kitten 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Indian Lake 10.00 4.5 9-1
14 14 Pyron 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Cynergy’s Star 12.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Seven On the Rocks 12.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Top Boss 15.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Live Fire 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Colbaloaf 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Marvalous Mike 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Doctor Davis 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Airspeed Velocity 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Doctor Jeff 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Feeling Woozy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Native Dancer S.) – Native Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nimitz Class 0.50 1 2-1
3 3 American d’Oro 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Vance Scholars 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Forewarned 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ain’t Da Beer Cold 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Nostalgic Run 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Henry S. Clark S.) – Henry S. Clark S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 You Must Chill 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bodecream 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Yodel E. A. Who 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 6 Classier 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 Clubman 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Cannon’s Roar 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 English Bee 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Ocala Dream 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sky’s Not Falling 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smokin’ T 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 El Hermano 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Velvet Ghost 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Albertano 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hot N Spicy Love 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Shoot Themessenger 10.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Curlington 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Military Hop 20.00 4 8-1
12 12 Sicilia Mike 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Pelota 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Hagler 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Honor the Fleet 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Erawan 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Raise a Speights 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Goldieness 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Miss Fussy Pants 10.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Six the Hard Way 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Goodgirl Badhabits 1.40 3.6 7-1
9 9 Devil Pays in Gold 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Major Houlihan 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mo Martha 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Happy Clouds 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Tinseltown Tina 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Dahlia S.) – Dahlia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mit Mazel 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Deciding Vote 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Youens 15.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Double Fireball 20.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Silver Currency 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Misty Mauve 30.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Takntothecleaners 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Surprisingly 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Miss Carol Ann (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sopran Basilea (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Primonetta S.) – Primonetta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Street Lute 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Princess Kokachin 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Easy to Bless 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Prodigy Doll 3.50 4 7-1
1 1 Oxana 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Moody Woman 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Fuhgeddaboudit 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (King T. Leatherbury S.) – King T. Leatherbury S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alwaysinahurry 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Backnthewoods 15.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Stage Left 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Synthesis 6.00 4.7 9-1
14 14 Karan’s Notion 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 E J’s Revenge 30.00 9 17-1
12 12 Showtime Cat 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Can the Queen 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Grateful Bred 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Breezy Gust 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Boat’s a Rockin 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Breakthrough 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 That’s Right 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Determined Kingdom 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fowl Nation 0 0-1
1 1 He’s On Fire 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Orocovix 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Sir Smoak 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Trophy Room 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Smart and Fast 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Fowl Nation 2.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Buy Here Pay Here 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Rascally Rebel 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Daredavite 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.