Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magic Bubbles 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Cloak of Mercy 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Flirting Girl 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Dixie Tap 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Loupit 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Penzig 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sweet Sweetfantasy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kyandi 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bourbon On Fire 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Briartown 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Ransam Paynter 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Moon Connection 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Asset Basis 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Charlie Whiskey 12.00 5 10-1
1 1 P R Call Me Maybe 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Espionage 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Much Better 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Tango Charlie 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Lightning Struck 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Alex’s Strike 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Square Deal 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Tapit’s Spirit 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Colonel Klink 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
I’m Beth Dutton 0 0-1
1 1 Wreaking Havoc 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 I’m Beth Dutton 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 True Emotion 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Bodi Odi 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Luv Map 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Mischievous Me 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Her Name Was Lola 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Jersey Doll 30.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Free Will 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quick to Blame 0.80 1 2-1
7 7 Mo Choctaw 12.00 2 4-1
11 11 Fast Lane 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 El Mongo 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Mourvedre 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Koselio 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 New Dice 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Suitable 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Premium 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Skyline 30.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 Risky Situation 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Dancin Rocket 1.40 1 2-1
10 11 Impoverished 3.50 2 4-1
2 1 Colonel Barton 4.50 2.8 5-1
1A 8 All in Good Time 1.40 3.4 6-1
4 3 Ready Shoes 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Peripatetic 20.00 8 15-1
8 9 Muddman 12.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Fancy Paynter 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 10 Heart Headed Arky 30.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Hoppin John 20.00 10.4 20-1
3 2 Old Toby 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Betcha 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dream Streak 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Legendary Gift 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Jamminjl 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 First Empress 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Becky’s Tattoo 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Simona’s Choice 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Mi Crescendo 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 La Morena 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Izeonpoint 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Favorite Outlaw 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Tape to Tape 2.00 2 4-1
8 8 Under the Gun 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Coltons Dream 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lochmoor 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Exxel 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Bandit Point 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Cowboy Casanova 30.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Autumns Strong Man 30.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Willow Creek Road 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Dig A Diamond S.) – Dig A Diamond S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lovely Ride 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Butterbean 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Tap Dance Fever 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Gunning 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Coastal Charm 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Let’s Cruise 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Into Disco 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Bachelor S.) – Bachelor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ryvit 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mo Strike 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Arman 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Count de Monet 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Tyler’s Tribe 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Alto Road 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Release McCraken 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Joking Way 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fifty Cent Dollars 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Hern 4.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Outlier 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Twisted Dixie 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lord Dragon 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Magoo 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mr. Thunderstruck 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Notary 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Rider’s Special 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Macho Ronnie 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mamzooj 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.