Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magic Bubbles | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloak of Mercy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flirting Girl | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Tap | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loupit | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penzig | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sweetfantasy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kyandi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon On Fire | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Briartown | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ransam Paynter | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Connection | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asset Basis | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie Whiskey | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | P R Call Me Maybe | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Espionage | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Much Better | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tango Charlie | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Struck | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alex’s Strike | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Square Deal | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit’s Spirit | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Klink | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I’m Beth Dutton | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Wreaking Havoc | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Beth Dutton | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Emotion | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bodi Odi | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luv Map | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Me | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Her Name Was Lola | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jersey Doll | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free Will | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quick to Blame | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Choctaw | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Lane | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Mongo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mourvedre | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Koselio | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Dice | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suitable | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Premium | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skyline | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Situation | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Dancin Rocket | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Impoverished | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Colonel Barton | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 8 | All in Good Time | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Ready Shoes | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peripatetic | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Muddman | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Paynter | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Heart Headed Arky | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Old Toby | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Betcha | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Streak | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Gift | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jamminjl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Empress | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Becky’s Tattoo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Simona’s Choice | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Crescendo | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Morena | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Izeonpoint | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Favorite Outlaw | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tape to Tape | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Gun | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coltons Dream | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lochmoor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exxel | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bandit Point | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Casanova | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Autumns Strong Man | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willow Creek Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Dig A Diamond S.) – Dig A Diamond S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Ride | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Butterbean | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap Dance Fever | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunning | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coastal Charm | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Cruise | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Disco | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bachelor S.) – Bachelor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ryvit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Strike | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arman | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Count de Monet | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tyler’s Tribe | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alto Road | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Release McCraken | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joking Way | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hern | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Outlier | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Dixie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Dragon | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magoo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rider’s Special | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mamzooj | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.