Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fedaline 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Stole the Ring 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Lady in Red 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Some Like It Hot 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Panic Switch 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Manitoulin Island 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Nepriklausoma Dama 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kaukokaipuu 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Yorkville 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 True Temper 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Midnight Tempesta 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Direct Drive 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Mr. Rudy 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Beyond Talented 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lets Run Two 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shelly the Rocket 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Absolute Jewel 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 My Girl Hooter 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Carla’s Honor 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Pictureday Jessica 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Halo Style 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hatmaker Holiday 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Fedalia 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Miss Brentwood 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Jara 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sparkle Sammy 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Hit and Run 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Cefalo 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Hasn’t Hit Me Yet 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kerics Beauty 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Big Ginger 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Makes Sense to Me 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 American Gamble 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Seattle Causeway 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 War’s End Kiss 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Remembering Rhoda 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Where Is Essa 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Magnificent Mario 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Kid Marvelous 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Moonquest 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Uptown Lights 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Classic Dancer 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Street Max 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Star Shoot S.) – Star Shoot S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jill Jitterbug 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Collecting Flatter 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Blind Spot 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Kavala 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fearless Angel 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Strokes (IRE) 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Antihero 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Dolce Sopresa 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Romantic Gamble 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cotton 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Emicrack (CHI) 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Lenny K 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Forester’s Turn 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Last American Exit 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rockcrest 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Secret Reserve 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Souper Dormy 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Bossy Holiday 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Have a Souper Day 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Forester’s Fortune 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sensational Sarah 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Worry Less 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Crimson Nights 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Silent Tribute 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Telltale 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Ashlee’s Ring 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Foolish Games 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Loki’s Lightning 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Strike the Pose 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.