Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wildhawk | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Free | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Solveig | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Glimmer | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Punkin | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heymackit’sjack | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eight and Sand | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spettro | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Volkert | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upper Level | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ignited | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clash A. J. | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Smitty Run | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Hunter | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raw Courage | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gifted | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Financial Advice (FR) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ocean Gateway | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prerequisite | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pret a Toucher | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Libretto (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasured Gem | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kayleigh’s Pride | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meow Meow Hiss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Volatility | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | River Oaks | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Sexy | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tooshay | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Sonya | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Jackson | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Chance | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Goddess | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs Bell | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Gorgeous | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Akiva | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Majority Partner | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Celestial Moon | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Explain | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Harry | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Space Launch | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kinetic Sky | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daunt | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chulainn | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clear Vision | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twenty Four Mamba | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Tryst | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Beaute Cachee (FR) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1X | 11 | Suspended Campaign | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Chili Flag (FR) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Know It All Audrey | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Frivole (FR) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Desert Dalliance | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 10 | To a T | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lay the Groundwork | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ever Summer | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Except Temptation | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 98 | Battle Station | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Unique Unions | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Thrill of It | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scilly Cay | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brew Pub | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Foolish Ghost | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | First Deputy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Affirmed Success S.) – Affirmed Success S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Today’s Flavor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Listentoyourheart | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amundson | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Tate | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lobsta | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scocciatore | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nolo Contesto | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Charming | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inspeightoftrainer | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Venezuela | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mach One | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skylander | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Son of an Ex | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.