Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Impetuous Soul 0 0-1
4 4 Straight Time 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Impetuous Soul 4.50 3.4 6-1
12 12 Travel Guide 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Doc Ballard 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Paradise Drive 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Hard to Fathom 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Voice an Opinion 30.00 8 15-1
11 11 Enzo’s World 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Screen Door 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Sir Bitesalot 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rule It 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Always Golden 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Take the Podium 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Scenic View 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Strong Embrace 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Kestenna (GB) 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Chess Not Checkers 2.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Politely Crowned 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Sweet Actress 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 The Sleepychipmunk 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 The Peninsula 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Globes 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Starship Wizard 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 I Am the Game 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Ti Sento (IRE) 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Slow Decision 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Tapit Brio 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Stormy Victory 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Triple Start 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fly the W 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bryce Canyon 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Race Craft 1.80 3.5 7-1
3 3 Burning Man 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Attentive 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Kartano 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Catatumbo 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sha Tin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Octane 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Iron Works 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Candy Tycoon 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Girolamo’s Attack 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mish 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Logico 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Laughing Boy 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Typey 1.80 1 2-1
11 11 Soviet Excess 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Millennium Park 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Party Dream 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Kara and Colleen 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Wand 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Starship Sigrun 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Bomberella 10.00 8 15-1
10 10 A J’s Memory 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Poet’s Woods 20.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Silly Lily 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Harry’s Onthebeach 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bahamian Captain 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Mystic Lancelot 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Smokin Cloud 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Jet Wings 4.50 4 8-1
9 9 Grand Valley 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Mogalu 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Sutton Breeze 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Legend 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Midnight Getaway 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Morning Colors 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Domineering 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Khosea 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 She Nasty 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Dancingwthdaffodls 2.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Divine Exchange 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Capridrey 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 La Rusia 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Rain 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lovin Livin 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dreamster 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Rosie’s Halo 2.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Selina Kyle (PER) 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Doll Baby 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Elusive Molly 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Miss Ucrania 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Viva La Red 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Great Analogy 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Hazardous Humor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Restored Order 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 No Man Left Behind 8.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Glorious Tribute 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 J P Cornetta 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 The Best Distance 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Cupid’s Dude 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 My Boy Blue 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 T Ville 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Power (BRZ) 30.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Sir Kahn 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Exuma (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.