Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Distant Fire 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Neutral 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Golden Remedy 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Spunky Irishman 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mungo Magic 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Da Beers On Ice 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Where’s Ray 6.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Fightnomoreforever 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brummagem 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 She’ll Make Waves 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Bella Bettina 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Full of Attitude 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Miz the Best 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 O Shaughesey 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Gatita Suave 15.00 10.3 20-1
10 10 Twelveo’clockrock 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Evangeline Allons 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Imnotonetocomplain 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Better Call Mama 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Sharp Catch 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Condescending 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mystic Link 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Souper Catch 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Crush It 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Oxide 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Devoted Kitten 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shofar 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Krug 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rock Rose 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tam Char 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lady Jean 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Shinelikeadiamond 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Little Ms Scarlet 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Pretty Edgy 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tweet Away Robin 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Carvellian Quest 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Sneaking Suspicion 20.00 3.4 6-1
14 14 North Highland 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Imagine It 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Hay Chief 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Scorestosettle 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Hialeah Native 15.00 10.5 20-1
13 13 Carico 15.00 11.3 21-1
15 15 Henderson 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Curteis 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Mr. Cowboy Bradley 50.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Northern Rye 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gaming Soul 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bobsworth 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rector 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Porch Swing 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cora’s Choice 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sugar Sin 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Donna’s Courage 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Lil’ Late Luck 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Voodoo Priestess 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Vixsinzkeltkbanshe 6.00 5 10-1
6 6 River City Rocker 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Best Worst Idea 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Parkerness 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Byk 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 R B’s the Boss 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Assume Nothing 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Lamarvelous 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Goodafternoonoscar 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Master of None 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 By Its Absence 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Haunted Room 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Shaolin 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mo Fire 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Sweet Talia 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Musical Cat 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Lucky Lorraine 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Salagadoola 6.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.