Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Worthiness 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bootlegging Girl 3.50 1.7 3-1
1A 8 Sophie’s Star 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Old School Flash 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Altar Girl 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 I Guess Not 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Truebluegirl 30.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Onlythreesocks 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sidetown 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dial in for Lute 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Morning Snow 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Carl G 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Trappe Valley 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Tillis 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Rock N June Bug 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Stud Puppy 30.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Ojitos 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Permafrost 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Daryl’s Bolt 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Moon Over Dubai 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Humor Me Now 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Chrome Run 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Impeccability 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Double Numbers 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Impressor 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 El Gemar 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Five O Fox 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Malorie’s Big Boy 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Leola 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dalton’s Rutrow 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Joe Bill 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Sunsign 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Whonew 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 R Doc 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Rum ‘n Tonic 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Luck of the Draw 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Xylophone 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Happy Boy Rocket 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Whooping Jay 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Trivista 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Twitty City 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Make Noise 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Georgia Deputy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Coromandel 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Honeycamp 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tiz a Strategy 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sweet Holiness 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Preordained 3.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Pat’s Gal 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Quarantined 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Driving 15.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 May Disco 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Greer Crossing 15.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Relentless Rocket 30.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Rosalie’s Destiny 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jets a Ginnin 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silvia 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Argumental 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Off Ramp 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Comedy Act 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hartley 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Taking Charge Desi 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Sassy Sagey 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ten Gauge 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 All West 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Mamzooj 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mystic Night 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Jedrek 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 U S Navy Cross 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ice Blast 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Brooklyn Diamonds 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Catdaddy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 One Way Or Another 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ms Carroll County 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Gramercy Park 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Sassy Lass 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Lassie My Girl 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Heated Argument 15.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Mocha Kiss 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Music Mistress 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Derby Day Lassie 20.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Choctaw Charlie 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Hamazing Debate 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.