Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Worthiness | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bootlegging Girl | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Sophie’s Star | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Old School Flash | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altar Girl | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Guess Not | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truebluegirl | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Onlythreesocks | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sidetown | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dial in for Lute | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Snow | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carl G | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trappe Valley | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tillis | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock N June Bug | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stud Puppy | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ojitos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Permafrost | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daryl’s Bolt | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Dubai | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Humor Me Now | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Run | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impeccability | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Numbers | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impressor | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Gemar | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five O Fox | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malorie’s Big Boy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leola | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Bill | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunsign | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whonew | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | R Doc | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luck of the Draw | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Xylophone | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Boy Rocket | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whooping Jay | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trivista | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twitty City | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make Noise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Georgia Deputy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coromandel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honeycamp | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Strategy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Holiness | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Preordained | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pat’s Gal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quarantined | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Driving | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | May Disco | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greer Crossing | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Relentless Rocket | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosalie’s Destiny | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jets a Ginnin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silvia | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Argumental | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Off Ramp | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comedy Act | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hartley | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taking Charge Desi | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Sagey | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ten Gauge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All West | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamzooj | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Night | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jedrek | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | U S Navy Cross | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Blast | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brooklyn Diamonds | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catdaddy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | One Way Or Another | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Carroll County | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gramercy Park | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Lass | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lassie My Girl | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heated Argument | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mocha Kiss | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Music Mistress | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Day Lassie | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Choctaw Charlie | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hamazing Debate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.