Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hotitude 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kleen Karma 1.60 2.8 5-1
2 2 Squared Shady 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Boss Lady 2.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Lov U Mean It 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Big Hopes 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Vella 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Issa Court 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Beachgrass 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 California Gigi 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lucy L 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Roses R Blue 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Going Mobile 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Last Call London 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 4 Thirsty Gambler 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 I Will Be King 4.00 3 6-1
7 6 Mici’s Express 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Thirsty Thursday 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 98 Smokem Ez 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sareeha (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Luminiferous 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Marinas Tina (IRE) 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Creatively (IRE) 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Magic Light 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Ankyrah 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Happy Happy 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yellow Brick 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Texthelegend 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Palagio 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Blue Dog 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Flat On 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Seventeen Black 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 El Perfecto 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Barbara S.) – Santa Barbara S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Duvet Day (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Queen Ofthe Temple 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Scarabea 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Exit Soul 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Seisai (IRE) 3.00 4 7-1
7 7 Zeyaraat 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Katonah 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mastering 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ghazaaly 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ultimate Gamble 1.20 3.7 7-1
6 6 Got Thunder 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Zimba Warrior 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Wilshire S.) – Wilshire S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Very Scary 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Closing Remarks 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Canoodling 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Quattroelle (IRE) 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Macadamia (BRZ) 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Thunder Run 30.00 7 13-1
3 3 Rhea Moon (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Moose Mitchell 0 0-1
2 2 My Man Bags 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Moose Mitchell 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Stay in the Game 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Smile for Glory 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Super Chief 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Golf Drama 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 El Diablo Rojo 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Royal Halo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Foolish 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 La Peer 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Free and Humble 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Unjokable 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Socially Smart 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Carson Jen 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Jai Ho 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Jensco 6.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Strikingly 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Irresistible Force 12.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 Rockin to the Boss 20.00 9.6 18-1
9 98 Hot Tea 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.