Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Green Gables 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Loaded Vixen 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tickle Her Toe 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Oheavens 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lincolnville Beach 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Awildas Treasure 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 No Whammie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Preetzah’s Star 0 0-1
6 6 Do the Griddy 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Give Me My Money 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Grand Ambition 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tory’s Holiday 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Arnie P 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Manetka 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Preetzah’s Star 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Big Ransom 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Honey Won’t 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Forest B 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Master Spy 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tricky Magician 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bet 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Money Matters 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mayito 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calabrian Queen 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Zoning Order 8.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Worst Behaviour 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Timeless Elegance 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Elysian Field 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Town’s a Breeze 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Candy Wine 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Moral Turpitude 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Gravy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stylish Gent 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Extraction Will 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Executive Chairman 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Stormin’ Humor 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lil Green Machine 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sir Grayvenscroft 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Canyouhearmenow 2.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Super Headline 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Racing in the Rain 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Big Bad Beast 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Maximus Momentus 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Blockbuster 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Unilateral 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Duke of Miami 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Fade Away 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Radcliffe 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lapochka 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Old Chestnut 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Hilarious Affair 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Perfect Crime 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Rockstar Ro 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Repeat the Heat 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Abisko 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uncle Joe 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Souper Classy 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Talk to Ya Later 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sooner Lunar 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Long Pond 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Point to the Stars 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Big Executive 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Woodstock S.) – Woodstock S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ship the Goods 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Ninetyfour Expos 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 New York Thunder 1.40 1.4 3-1
1 1 Stayhonor Goodside 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Gran Spirited 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Opposites Attract 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paramount Prince 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Puddingontheritz 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 One Bay Hemingway 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Half to Reload 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Morstachy’s 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Posturing 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Smart Sky 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Highland Life 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Confusing 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Gungi 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.