Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 San Antone 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kadens Courage 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Rockin Cowboy 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 E T’s Candy Man 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 One Slick Start 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Stay Hydrated 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Indirectly 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Jack Luvs Nova 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Carnelian 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Be Water 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 All That Magic 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Big Ambition 4.50 7.2 14-1
3 3 Dune Jumper 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Brooklyn Heights 10.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Mythreebutterflies 6.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Why Not Babe 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Take Charge Erica 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Vitaemi 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Epicurean 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Pontiffany 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Boss Cara 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Baci 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Baby Fade 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Midlaner 0 0-1
7 7 Iconic Legacy 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dixie’s Two Stents 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Midlaner 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 My Last Mission 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Polar Wind 3.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Honorary Degree 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bucks Are Moving 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 Maxim Moment 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hope for Gold 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Meru 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Natavalli’s Knight 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Chain Reaction 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Taco Bean 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Dangnabbit 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Fire’s Finale 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Large 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Amigos Guitar 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 This Round’s Mine 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cartwheel 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tiz Gracie 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Seamialaugh 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Frame This 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Shirley Greene 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Starship Blanca 10.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Adhwaa 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Starship Rogue 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Confirmed Genius 0 0-1
Chelsea Wall 0 0-1
3 3 Lady Zeta 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Midtown Rose 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Chelsea Wall 2.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sense a Million 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Bucks Some 5.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Cause I Said 6.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Tilsa 6.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Confirmed Genius 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Far Mo Power 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 American Patrol 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Irish Cork 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Irish Exit 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Amatteroftime 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Practical Coach 5.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Simovitch 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Forewarned 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Word On a Wing 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Breezy Gust 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Hopeful Treasure 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Five Dreams 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Spun and Won 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Noble Gaston 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Wendell Fong 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Hollywood Jet 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Scotty 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Seat of Honor 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Illustrious 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Somebody 1.80 4.2 8-1
7 7 Just Nod and Smile 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Wild Union 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Eddie’s Charge 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Awe Mun 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Amount 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.