Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, May 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mp Thornado 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Seperate Fire 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 Wild Blue Debutant 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Mp Sixy Silhoutte 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Pipers Pick 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mg Rip Tide Girl 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Leaving the Desert 6.00 7 13-1
8 8 Sheza Piloto 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 San Lorenzo Blood 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sheza Fast Piloto 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ripnroller 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Jess Push Your Luck 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Sole Train 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Gabby B 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 C C Girl 6.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Sheza Flashy Corona 4.50 8.8 17-1
4 4 Tdz Jess Crown Jewel 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Grand Feature 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Venus Tlc 2.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Jp La Fresita 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Jla Cajun Cartel 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sydney Eagle 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sara Bellum 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Freightless 4.50 7.9 15-1
4 4 Rf Debsblueyedgirl 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Soaracrossyourmind 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Apollitical Kate 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Play It Again Bux 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Sea Train B 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 India de La Nieve 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 One Fast Denali 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Sonjas Stellar Luna 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Special Moon Flash 6.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 San Lorenzo Girl 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mp Sheza Yes 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tayzanito 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mp Splashing Pilot 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Elvis Gotta B Fast 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Ima Powerful Jammer 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Shakeupmyblood 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Jess Train B 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Billie Bad Azz 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Move Over 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ttt La Kas 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 San Lorenzo Rose 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Favorite Painting 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Mp Adored 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sheza Monee Train 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Moon Chick 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Special Wild Train B 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Softely Leaving You 15.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Louisana Queen 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Martinis Diva 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Matti Jambalaya 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Wild Blue Ivory 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Moonlight Special 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Perry Lou Cartel 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Shez Going My Way 4.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 Maggi Mae 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Yall Talkin On Me 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Curlin Coal 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Fiduciary 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Oak Hill Streaker 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 All About Rogue 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Liverpool Tlc 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Ho Lotta Freight 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Lou Easy Anna 3.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 Diamond Blood 6.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.