Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jessah Cervza 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Spending Plan 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Kr Eye of a Storm 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Ttt M Twenty Three 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Magnolia Prize 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Tf That Girls Game 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Lil Runaway Train 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 G Nah Nah B 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Jewels Train 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jrs Majestic Bayou 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sheza Bye Bye 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Jambalaya Empress 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Prom Queen Nr 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Rogue Fast Dash 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Traininthefastlane 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mg Alone Girl 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Flying Feather 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tk Sweet Eyes 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jj Eagle Hy Luck 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 I Can Fly 2.50 6.1 12-1
5 5 A Corona Moon 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Perrysmidnightcarter 3.50 7 13-1
4 4 Hard Ninety 5.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Last Freightrain 12.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Ms Diamond Deluxe 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Sheza San Lorenzo 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Southern Chex 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Apolliticalady 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Robbiesdashingleagle 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Wendells Fast Dash 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Tdz Wavetothequeen 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 San Lorenzaa 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Im for Myles 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Rogue Southern Lady 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Ungawa 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Real Dashin Tornda 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Eagle Moon Me 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Bbs Mooninchick 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ha Chi Corona 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Little Sweet One 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Mg Miss Piloto 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Judys Money Train 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Significant Prize 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 A Better Affair 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lulu Starr 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Cliffnotes 3.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Midknight Express 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Thorn Chick 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Fast Dashin Spitfire 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Jrs Cute Cartel 2.50 7.6 14-1
7 7 Jenny B 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eyesa Just Pretty 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sheza Cartels Dream 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Monti Power Jam 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Flyin Jewel 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Fidelity Tlc 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Fast Flyin Floozy 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Missterrisfirstprize 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Cartel Edge 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweetnspecial Pilot 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 One Sweet Sugar 2.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Coronas for 3 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Belgravia 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Meagan All Over 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Ajs Queenofdasouth 5.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Apollitical Answer 4.50 7.6 14-1
3 3 Jess Special Blood 10.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Tf Blueaway Eagle 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.