Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dialer 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Alligator Arms 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Band Camp 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 General J R 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Run for Your Life 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bar Down Express 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Bobsworth 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Great Googlymoogly 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Moon Sign 15.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Lunar Ghost 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss You Ajax 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Thruster 15.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 He Rolls 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Street Hustle 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Notion to Tapit 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Cavalry Command 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Patriotic Party 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Notimelikepresent 4.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 His Royal G 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Never Silenced 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Pressing Concern 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Johnselectricride 20.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Blackwater Falls 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Daredavite 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I Can Do It 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Time Goes Fast 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Italian War Cry 8.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Thunder Boss 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Haint Blue 2.50 5.6 11-1
10 10 Chez Soleil 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Gold Digging Broad 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Tanka Tough 8.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Police Woman 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Determined Lilly 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Bring the Magic 8.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Krone 20.00 11.4 22-1
15 15 Mondeuse 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Auntie Rona 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Prize Debate 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Brooklyn Girl 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Honor the Fleet 5.00 1 2-1
11 12 Ghostlighter 6.00 1.3 2-1
1A 7 Northern Thunder 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 1 Seanow 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 8 Royal Spy 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bahama Channel 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 10 Remembering Wilbur 10.00 6 11-1
10 11 Pepe and Heywood 12.00 7 13-1
8 9 Badger Tooth 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Forloveofcountry 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wild Behavior 4.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Brilliant Chase 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Box N Ben 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Runaholic 4.50 1.6 3-1
12 12 Great Heavens 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Run Bucky Run 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Great Cocktail 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Calming Storm 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Admit Nothing 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Stormy Seas 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Upsidedown Man 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Surf City Gold 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 He’s Pure Talent 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Doris’ Slaying It 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She Is Wisky 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Downtown Katie 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Cynergy’s Electra 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Flimsy 4.50 3.9 7-1
12 12 Except Temptation 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Naval Empire 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Proper Storm 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Evangeline Allons 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Map Em Up 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Isabella’s Glory 15.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Fivecommatwo 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Angel Art 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chateau 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Where Paradise Lay 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Borracho 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Exculpatory 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Going to the Lead 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Hunter Joe 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Whiskey and You 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blame B B 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Take Charge Too 1.80 2 4-1
8 8 Luv Ya Bye Bye 12.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Surprise Hello 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Dr. Snyder 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 King Saban 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Ryder T 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Will’s Music 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Rush to Candy 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Moon Storm 20.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Odinson 12.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Thunderhouse 30.00 9.6 18-1
15 15 Theolovesawinner 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fun Notion 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Catching Stars 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mission Man 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.