Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | West Side Girl | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mumblebee | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hoping for a Ring | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Put a Bow On It | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emityaaz | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Close to Me | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flowersforshantell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Marciamarciamarcia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Elegance N Tonic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The X Factor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rowdy Daisy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zongs Irish Frost | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Cowgirl | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Joyce | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lunch Lady | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Summer Dream | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petula | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devon’s Girl | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Baby Kate | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be Bo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Molly of Stratford | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | American Band | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Hail Columbia | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Whiskey Blue | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Essential Bella | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Lantern’s Candy | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Tap Me a Text | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Forever Home | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Have I Ever | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Queenies Way | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Pleasure | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tyrona | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vow | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greek Heiress | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mary’s Boon | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chanisa | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Cindy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Tothe Wire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hamazing Debate | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Rosey | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betty Jo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Be Sheehan | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rivercrest Girl | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortibug | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jeri Dawn | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Haythere Jogeegirl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancin N Thepulpit | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Guest in My Heart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Early Dismissal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kitiara | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Beans | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Cruise | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wobberjod | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alexandros | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One for Richie | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freudian Fate | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Pattern | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reef’s Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Loki | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spend Benjamins | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Heroic Move | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Heist | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Tomate | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Recker Point | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Powder | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Liam | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jewelstown | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | G T Five Hundred | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abeliefinthislivin | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Line to Gain | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Muldoon | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mendelssohn Joy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Axton | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Natural State Breeders’ S.) – Natural State Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Summer Shoes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Connie K | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kantex | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Pretty | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaboom Baby | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | She’s Storming | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sulwe | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summorya | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Fearless | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pattern Bet | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courtney Fay | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Proud Victoria | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arden Ar | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Forget | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Home Run Trick | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | June Gloom | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Barn | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Peck | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coal Truth | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wartime Hero | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flatout Winner | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tappin Fora Dance | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willy the Cobbler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.