Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Boat to Skye 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Son of a Birch 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 American Know How 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Little Skippy 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Flat Top Box 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Paxsational 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cumberland 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Safalow’s Mission 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Union Fleet 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Mason Mania 1.20 2.6 5-1
2 2 Datesfreedom 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Jumpster 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Mighty Atlas 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hooey 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Predicted 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Crack the Code 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 West Star 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Pine Alley 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Good Rapport 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Sheepshead Bay S.) – Sheepshead Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Higher Truth (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Amazing Grace (GER) 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Virginia Joy (GER) 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Atomic Blonde (GER) 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mylady (GER) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Electric Stuff 3.50 1 2-1
2 1 Factually Correct 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 5 Launch Control 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Disarmed 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Scherzando 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 6 Kreesa 4.50 6.5 12-1
14 15 Uncle Marty 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Z Dancer 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Willintoriskitall 15.00 9.8 18-1
13 14 Newport Bridge 10.00 10.4 20-1
11 11 Art of Courage 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sharpaz 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tunnel Vision 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Kid Emerald 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Kid Kreesa 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Warman Road 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 John’s Protege 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Central Pride 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Jester’s Song 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Hatch 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Improper 2.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Our Son Jake 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Juggler 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Daufuskie Island 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Suit of Armor 20.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Marathoner 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Voliero 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Town of Gold 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hereby 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dr. Duke 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sonic Speed 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Heymackit’sjack 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Deep Cover 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Eddie the Great 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Westchester S.) – Westchester S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Zandon 0 0-1
8 8 Repo Rocks 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Zandon 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Dr Ardito 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Expressman 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Weyburn 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bourbon Calling 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Unbridled Bomber 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 White Abarrio 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Robyn and Eli 3.00 1 2-1
13 13 Berning Honor 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 La Goulu 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 La Conquistadora 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Succulent 4.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Charisse 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Big Hazel 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Good Accelebrate 30.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 She’s a Natural 15.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Northway 20.00 8.7 17-1
8 8 Be Best 8.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Silent Melody 10.00 11.2 21-1
9 9 My Angel 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 The Splendid One 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shoppingatbloomies 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Splashy 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.