Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Destine to Race | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Had That One Too | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Forever After All | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Minute Lick | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Walkn | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Samaritan | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magic Palace | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Back to Gridlock | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Headed Woman | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Origami Girl | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | K’antheia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lady Emily Kathryn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grove | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Undervalued Asset | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Personal Pursuit | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unsung Melody | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Padma | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vahva | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ervadean | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margoinabubblebath | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Secret Statement | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goodbye Kyle | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | T Max | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Peacock Lass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fogo Island | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Be Here Now | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Point Me By | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sutherland | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Siege of Boston | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin’ T | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Burning Bright | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whisper Not (GB) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rustler | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky and Sand | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bullseye Bun | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Justice (GB) | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Background | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | We All See It | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 19 | 19 | Johny’s Fireball | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Button Boy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Koufax | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Creative Minister | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 20 | 20 | Flags Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Price Talk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Legal Attack (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Richiesgotgame | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heartyconstitution | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Heartyconstitution | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jump Into the Fire | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not So Close | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Take a Stand | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 18 | 18 | Sunny Isle Beach | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guana Cay | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fannie and Freddie | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jag Warrior | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Into Disco | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roc’s Princess | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zawish | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Music Street | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Mouffy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stepper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Mambo Kitten | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tap Dancing Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lisette | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | New Roo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Alysheba S. Presented By Sentient Jet) – Alysheba S. Presented By Sentient Jet
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | West Will Power | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Art Collector | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smile Happy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Samurai | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Milliken | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rich Strike | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Game | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Modesty S. Presented By Twinspires) – Modesty S. Presented By Twinspires
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McKulick (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shantisara (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Rockstar (GB) | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New Year’s Eve | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Didia (ARG) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Dani Girl | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkle Blue | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Henrietta Topham | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kate’s Kingdom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Eight Belles S. Presented By Sysco) – Eight Belles S. Presented By Sysco
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Twist | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Munnys Gold | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Carpet Ready | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accede | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabra Tuff | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Love | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olivia Twist | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Condensation | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Effortlesslyelgant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Positano Sunset | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Unbridled Sidney S. Presented By Turfway Park Racing & Gaming) – Unbridled Sidney S. Presented By Turfway Park Racing & Gaming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Caravel | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Storm | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Boss | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oeuvre | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salvaje | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Jewel | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miner’s Queen | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic d’Oro | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Margie’s Kitchen | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah Harper | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love of My Heart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quaria Comet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (La Troienne S. Presented By Twinspires) – La Troienne S. Presented By Twinspires
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Search Results | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Society | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Oath | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Edition | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Mo Reay | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Played Hard | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Dawn | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sixtythreecaliber | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pauline’s Pearl | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soul of an Angel | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Edgewood S. Presented By Forcht Bank) – Edgewood S. Presented By Forcht Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heavenly Sunday | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comanche Country (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Consort | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preliminary (GB) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Papilio (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liguria | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flashy Gem | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Named Charlie | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mission of Joy | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Revalita (FR) | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sabalenka | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Longines Kentucky Oaks) – Longines Kentucky Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botanical | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Promiseher America | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 14 | 14 | Pretty Mischievous | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Botanical | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Defining Purpose | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wet Paint | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flying Connection | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gambling Girl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | And Tell Me Nolies | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonder Wheel | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Alys Look | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mimi Kakushi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Affirmative Lady | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southlawn | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dorth Vader | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Promiseher America | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 17 | 17 | Hoosier Philly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Julia Shining | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Taxed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curl Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stellar Lady | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guns n’ Graces | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Metaphysical | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie’s Wish | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Legacy | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Lady Bailey | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Calling | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hayunevano | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Dixie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cotton Candy Annie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kid’s Last Laugh | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coppa Girl | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pitch Clock | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | American Retro | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excellent Question | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Guilt | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Huntress for Hire | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Magic Up | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twin Mischief | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Mischief | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Swanson Lake | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chaina | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Corri Felice | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Happy | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Never Tell Patti | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Islandinthestream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.