Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kr Special Piloto 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dancingwithgrand 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Commandeer 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Eyesa Wild Hero 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Kryptic 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Cartel Roses Z 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Heza Fast Tac 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Will 3 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Jsm Fast Dash 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Maxin Out Gains 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 The Knockout Power 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Db Blues Cartel 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Jrs Majestic Shadow 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 One Sweet Rootbeer 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Pm Uno Dasher 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 San Lorenzo Crown 5.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Jj One Jessan 8.00 8 15-1
6 6 Smokestack 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Aj Train 0 0-1
6 6 Blood Aztec 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Kp Paintmeasymphony 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Tf Itsy Bitsy Jess 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 One Cool Corona 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ole Grand Web 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Big Power 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Aj Train 3.50 7.5 14-1
4 4 Shine On Bye 8.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Jc Double Shott 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tru Blood 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Blues Little Loko 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Tf Jess a Eagle 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Trumps Got Game 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Tee Fish Is Favorite 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Eyesa Freighttrain B 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Tlc Willie Cartel 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Jrs Taylors Majestic 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Jettin Thru the Snow 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grand Hercules 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mae Power 20.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Da Repo Man 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Catch Ya Later Chic 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Corona123 1.80 4 8-1
9 9 Five Bar Patriot 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Mc Black Carter 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Francko 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Le Train 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Racy Jess 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Blues Pride 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Tdz Kings Ransom 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Racy Blood 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Hell of a View 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Super Gremlin 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Sir Beckham Duke 4.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 B the Vision 5.00 7 13-1
4 4 Dr Louisiana Cash 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tjs Dashn Train 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Zoomin Blue Star 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 C the Power 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Cardiac 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Romeo Rogue 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Tlc Snowman 4.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Tf One Toasted Eagle 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Air Cav Piloto 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Mr Habits Running 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Corona Only 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hogwartz 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hollywood Eagle 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Corona Checks Blue 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Jess Deluxe 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Moon Ray B 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 San Lorenzo Mudbug 10.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Choochu 12.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Apollitical Blues 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess Back the Blue 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hijack a Train 1.40 1.7 3-1
2 2 Ttt Mr Firstein 20.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Kyletos Majestic 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Power Intriguing 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 La Panther Blue 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Ferarri Rogue 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Open Me a Tall Boy 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Say When Kr 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Head Honcho 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tf Whatever It Takes 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jl the Great Bambino 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Black Train G 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Top Merchandise 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Msm Party With Moe 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Freight Tanker 5.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Nbc Mr Chris 6.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Eagle Dash Fast 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hoztile Takeover 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Adasha Dos Tres 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jessalouisianatrain 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 One Tuff Corona 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Sia Cartel Dollar 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Eddies Money Train 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Jrs Majestic Shine 3.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Development 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Memory Maker 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roundin Third 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Apollitical Force 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Tlc the Pilot 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mp Shining Dash 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Tarzanito Affair 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Rail Runner 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Tf Heza Streaker 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Big Daddys Cartel 12.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 San Lorenzo Yacht 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.