Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Seville Row 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 The Addison Pour 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Unorthodox 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Ready Reward 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Scotty Brown 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Nicky Bear 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Down Cold 4.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Sir Terre 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Dimmi Quando 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Stimulus Maker 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Orocovix 30.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Steele Money 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amity Road 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Superstitieux 12.00 2 4-1
2 2 Alottacents 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Kenner 0.80 2.8 5-1
5 5 My Mamba 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Twice Gold 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Divine Magic 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Call the Question 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Buckin’ Great 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Family Gal 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Low Mileage 4.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Buckin’ Lucky 4.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 She’s Fantastic 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Queen Tapiture 4.00 1 2-1
8 9 Bossyness 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Thencomemorning 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 8 Jackson’s Dixie 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 4 Gymnast 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Rowsie Express 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 One Las Olas 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Don’t Tell Deren 3.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Out of Luck 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Psychedelic Shack 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bomboloni 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Zyramid 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Bourbon Currency 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Speak Unity 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Strike Me Down 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Redeem Eddie 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Premiere Choice 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Aristocat 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vax a Nation 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Home School 30.00 3 6-1
1 1 Catching Stars 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Porch Swing 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Delegated 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Tempestivo 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 He’s Pure Talent 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Occasional Moon 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sage Runner 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Mr. Houghton 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 Aristocratic 6.00 1 2-1
8 9 Rahmer 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 He Hate Me 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 6 Backatya 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 5 Askin for a Baskin 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Shoot Themessenger 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 8 Satchel de Ritches 1.60 4.6 9-1
1A 3 Flat Lucky 2.50 SCRATCH
6 7 Bourbon and Ice 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crossland 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Benny Havens 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Who’s Counting 5.00 2.6 5-1
13 13 Stardust Ziggy 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Jardani 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Mint Game 6.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Jones Falls 30.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Frightland 3.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Spiritual Ghost 30.00 7.1 13-1
14 14 Reel Well 12.00 8.7 16-1
16 16 Lacco Ameno 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 What Does It Take 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Willow Wood 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Free Square 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mr Jefferson 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Omo Dada 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boruff 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 B West 1.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Thtwasthenthisisnw 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Sir Smoak 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dart 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Alvy 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sheer Element 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.