Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Canadiansweetheart 0.40 1 2-1
7 7 Celtic Revival 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Delilah’s Revenge 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Too Much Vino 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Chrome’s Angel 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 More Gelato 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Diosa Catrina 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jab 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 High Treason 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Trilling Song 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Neolithic Nation 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Victoria Elizabeth 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Meritamen 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Pick a Penny 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Me and My Shadow 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lady Brew 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Helluva Holiday 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 She Makes a Point 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Halaga 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Gayelette 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Map 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bedazzle Me 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Holiday With Amy 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Smoken Chloe 2.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Aruba (IRE) 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Danish Dynamite 20.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 Leading Force 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Domer Allure 8.00 8 15-1
5 5 Knotty and Nice 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr Narcissistic 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Boxer Brief 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Souper Rush 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Stubborn Streak 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Dragon’s Key 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Midnight Arkle 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Jamiesta 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Heat Merchant 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tachyon Speed 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Geneva 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Unified Front 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 You Gotta Be 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Dreams and Schemes 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lady Xi 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Spring High 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Shebatown 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Veri Gizmo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speed Trap 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gamble’s Silver 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Diamond Crush 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Starlight Ridge 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Jilli Marie 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Spider Belle 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bayou Belle 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No More Diamonds 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fortyfiveseventy 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Makes Sense to Me 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Royal Blush 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Tara Luna 2.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Tito’s Calling 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Souper Sinclair 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Foxy Diva 15.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Northern Passage 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.