Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kara Para | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oak Loves a Fight | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bernt Again | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Hot Chick | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace in Motion | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strange Fruit | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Road | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bushwick | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Franca | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Giggling Ghost | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jannie Mae | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lem Me Drink | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Orange Freeze | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Midnight Rosie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sperss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aperol Spritz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Listentoyourheart | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Law | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harrodsburg | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battuta d’Oro | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trash Talker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Digital Future | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In the Union | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Lore | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Lights | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Basic Truth | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papi On Ice | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B C Glory Days | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Lincoln | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zeebear | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pineapple Man | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Braciole | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nineteen Oysters | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radio Red | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clash A. J. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ortus | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lt. Mitchell | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tony O | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Battleoflexington | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Party | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holla At Your Boy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Mystery | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Force | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caesar’s Ghost | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ferris Muler | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Munny for Nuthin | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bettrluckythangood | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Barese | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Film Star | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Pharoahs | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Street | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bezos | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vienna Code | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Son of an Ex | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Subrogate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disappearance | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abadin | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timaeus | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Juan Valdez | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Purchase | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vespucci | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Honor King | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Run Diem Z | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Elusive Quality S.) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Voodoo Zip | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocala Dream | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thin White Duke | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anaconda | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven Street | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Boss | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes and Yes | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Curlin | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Oak | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fort Marcy S.) – Fort Marcy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | City Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Cause | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Washington | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keystone Field | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynadrive | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tide of the Sea | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Law Professor | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ruffian S.) – Ruffian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Idiomatic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Journey | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kathleen O. | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mommasgottarun | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pass the Champagne | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gerrymander | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joint Resolution | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stow On the Wold | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreampoint | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsallcomintogetha | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Headlight | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thethrillofvictory | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vince the Prince | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Locke and Key | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leftembehind | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just for Luck | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Morethanafeeling | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kid Kreesa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Indian Mischief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.