Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kara Para 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Oak Loves a Fight 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Bernt Again 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Red Hot Chick 1.80 5.6 11-1
1 1 Grace in Motion 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Strange Fruit 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Dream Road 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Bushwick 30.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Franca 15.00 12 23-1
10 10 Giggling Ghost 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jannie Mae 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lem Me Drink 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Orange Freeze 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Midnight Rosie 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sperss 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Aperol Spritz 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Listentoyourheart 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 American Law 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Harrodsburg 1.80 3.4 6-1
5 5 Battuta d’Oro 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Trash Talker 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Digital Future 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In the Union 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Legendary Lore 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Union Lights 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Basic Truth 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Papi On Ice 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 B C Glory Days 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Hot Rod Lincoln 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zeebear 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Pineapple Man 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Braciole 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Nineteen Oysters 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Radio Red 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Majestic Tiger 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Clash A. J. 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ortus 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lt. Mitchell 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lucky Lucky Luke 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Tony O 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Battleoflexington 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Captain Party 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Holla At Your Boy 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Malibu Mystery 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Awesome Force 50.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Caesar’s Ghost 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Ferris Muler 50.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Munny for Nuthin 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Bettrluckythangood 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Barese 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Film Star 1.60 1.9 4-1
3 3 Prince of Pharoahs 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 South Street 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bezos 30.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Vienna Code 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Son of an Ex 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Subrogate 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Disappearance 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Abadin 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Timaeus 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Juan Valdez 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Golden Purchase 50.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Vespucci 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Honor King 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Run Diem Z 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Elusive Quality S.) – Elusive Quality S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Voodoo Zip 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ocala Dream 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Thin White Duke 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Anaconda 1.80 3.4 7-1
6 6 Heaven Street 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Surprise Boss 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Yes and Yes 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lucky Curlin 10.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 High Oak 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Fort Marcy S.) – Fort Marcy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 City Man 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ottoman Fleet (GB) 1.60 1.4 3-1
2 2 King Cause 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Rockemperor (IRE) 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Fort Washington 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Keystone Field 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Dynadrive 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Tide of the Sea 30.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Law Professor 0.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ruffian S.) – Ruffian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Idiomatic 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Timeless Journey 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Kathleen O. 1.20 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mommasgottarun 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Pass the Champagne 4.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Gerrymander 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Atlanta’s Acuna 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Joint Resolution 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Stow On the Wold 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Dreampoint 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Itsallcomintogetha 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 One Headlight 4.00 4 8-1
12 12 Thethrillofvictory 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Vince the Prince 10.00 5 9-1
13 13 Locke and Key 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Leftembehind 8.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Just for Luck 12.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Morethanafeeling 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kid Kreesa 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Indian Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.