Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Heza Down King Ac 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jmg an Unquiet Mind 10.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Weeshie Fogarty 20.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Blue Train 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Ar Eagle Fire 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Take the Fasttrain 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Jess Black Perry 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Tcb Eye B Famous 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tf One Special Jess 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Im That Perry 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sarahs Patriot 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Masons Jet Black 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Lafitte 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Louie B Quick 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Freakin Patriot Dash 4.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Lolas Lil Ed 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Eaglette 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mr K B Day 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Pops Eagle 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sheza Trippin for U 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Seperate Moon 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Jj Jess Goes By 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Starzanito 6.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Alcala Perry 4.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Brooklynns Runaway 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Chictwopointo 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eyesa Five Bar 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jrs Heza Hot Tee 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Rogue Celebration 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Heza Silent Rogue 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Monte de Caramelo 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Bossy Bux 5.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Sheza Louisiana Doll 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Ezamae 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Bjs the Toughest Guy 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Letal Cowgirl 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Im That Corona Girl 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Shesabadmoonrising 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 African Queen 4.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Elegant Blues Girl 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 One Sweet Queen Bee 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Aj Taylors Red Train 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Jess a Wild Shannon 10.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Miss Jojo Piloto 15.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Open Eagle 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 The Notorious Tlc 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Corona in the Sand 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Big Man 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Double X Perry 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mr Dohick 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Royally Struttin 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Rl Tarzano 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Iputdatonacrackadude 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Tg Mount Coup 15.00 9 17-1
7 7 Tarzan in Diamonds 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jewel 63 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cartel Pete 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Rapid Eyes 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Red Cartelito 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 The Perry Cartel 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Good Lookin Patriot 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bp Coronas 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Mj Fast Dash 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Majestics Best Game 8.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Fancy One 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Conejo Malo 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fiercely Faithful 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Bar Fight Blues 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Photo Shop 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Rdd Shot Gun Rider 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Apolitical Dash 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Jnj a Game Jess 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Flyin Patriot 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Illegal Candy 6.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Track Star 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.